Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Cam Skattebo

NYG

RB18 · overall #15 · tier 5 · age 24

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Projected points

185

15.8/gm

Value over replacement

105

repl 110

Range

123–247

sd 62

Week

12.6

vs DAL

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
5.1
Carries / game
17.2
Receptions / game
3.9
Rec yards / game
28
Rush yards / game
71
Rush TD / game
0.56
Rec TD / game
0.12
Total TD / game
0.68
Games projected
11.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
15.8
Games of history
8
Age multiplier
1.022
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.8
Projected plays / game
62.5
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+0.42
OL pass protection
-0.21
OL continuity
75%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
68%
1st-down pass rate
48%
Run friendly
-0.80
Scheme creativity
+0.10
Play action / motion
22% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
94
Effective contributors
2.83
Top player's share
44%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.24

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
DAL,LA,TEN
Window matchup
+0.24
Opponents after
ARI,WAS,NO
After matchup
+1.12
Flip edge
-0.89
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.39

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

8

Points

115.7

Per game

14.46

17-gm pace

246

Best / worst

30.0 / 1.9

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
11.92-3022120
212.91145132140
321.11060186610
412.02579022110
511.41559076450
630.01998322120
716.91660063341
89.5312021181