QB
Caleb Williams
CHIQB5 · overall #101 · tier 2 · age 24
Projected points
269
17.6/gm
Value over replacement
19
repl 261
Range
227–311
sd 42
Week
16.5
@ CAR
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Pass attempts / game
- 34.1
- Pass yards / game
- 248
- Pass TD / game
- 1.49
- Carries / game
- 4.6
- Rush yards / game
- 21
- Rush TD / game
- 0.11
- Games projected
- 15.3
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 17.1
- Games of history
- 34
- Age multiplier
- 1.038
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.8
- Projected plays / game
- 62.4
- Projected pass rate
- 56%
- OL run block
- +1.37
- OL pass protection
- +1.06
- OL continuity
- 82%
- 2TE rate
- 36%
- 3WR rate
- 64%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 45%
- Run friendly
- +0.60
- Scheme creativity
- +0.58
- Play action / motion
- 26% / 54%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 24
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.34
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- CAR,MIN,PHI
- Window matchup
- -0.55
- Opponents after
- NYJ,GB,ATL
- After matchup
- +0.71
- Flip edge
- -1.26
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 10
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.28
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
17
Points
317.7
Per game
18.69
17-gm pace
318
Best / worst
37.7 / 4.7
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24.2 | 21 | 35 | 210 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 58 | 1 |
| 2 | 17.0 | 19 | 30 | 207 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 0 |
| 3 | 29.1 | 19 | 28 | 298 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| 4 | 11.8 | 22 | 37 | 212 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
| 6 | 20.4 | 17 | 29 | 252 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| 7 | 4.7 | 15 | 26 | 172 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 0 |
| 8 | 11.8 | 25 | 38 | 285 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 0 |
| 9 | 37.7 | 20 | 34 | 280 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 53 | 0 |
| 10 | 25.1 | 20 | 36 | 220 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 63 | 1 |
| 11 | 10.3 | 16 | 32 | 193 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 | 21.7 | 19 | 35 | 239 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 | 9.5 | 17 | 36 | 154 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 | 14.9 | 19 | 35 | 186 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 | 19.0 | 17 | 28 | 242 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 | 21.0 | 19 | 34 | 250 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 | 23.0 | 25 | 42 | 330 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 | 16.6 | 20 | 33 | 212 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |