Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Jordan Addison

MIN

WR44 · overall #100 · tier 8 · age 24

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Projected points

121

8.6/gm

Value over replacement

20

repl 115

Range

67–175

sd 54

Week

7.5

vs GB

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
5.5
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
3.3
Rec yards / game
44
Rush yards / game
2
Rush TD / game
0.03
Rec TD / game
0.39
Total TD / game
0.42
Games projected
14.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
11.6
Games of history
46
Age multiplier
1.044
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.1
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-0.03
OL pass protection
+0.12
OL continuity
79%
2TE rate
27%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.77
Scheme creativity
+0.21
Play action / motion
26% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
56
Effective contributors
2.95
Top player's share
48%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.66

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
GB,CHI,TB
Window matchup
-0.23
Opponents after
MIA,NO
After matchup
+0.70
Flip edge
-0.93
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.66

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

14

Points

114.1

Per game

8.15

17-gm pace

139

Best / worst

17.3 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
413.484114000
512.66541100
717.3129128000
810.14326100
97.442480116
105.011335000
119.07220100
120.0100000
136.110536000
148.27462000
157.62266000
163.63226000
1712.51000165
181.3318000