Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Jalen Coker

CAR

WR61 · overall #129 · tier 10 · age 24

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Projected points

96

7.7/gm

Value over replacement

7

repl 115

Range

57–135

sd 39

Week

6.0

vs CHI

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
5.2
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
3.4
Rec yards / game
44
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.29
Total TD / game
0.29
Games projected
12.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
8.5
Games of history
22
Age multiplier
1.044
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.7
Projected plays / game
59.9
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.31
OL pass protection
+0.20
OL continuity
60%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
73%
1st-down pass rate
40%
Run friendly
+0.67
Scheme creativity
-0.69
Play action / motion
21% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
3.79
Top player's share
42%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
CHI,ATL,CLE
Window matchup
+0.02
Opponents after
DET,PHI
After matchup
-0.48
Flip edge
+0.50
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
5
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.35

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

11

Points

73.9

Per game

6.72

17-gm pace

114

Best / worst

15.4 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
70.0200000
85.14336000
91.4119000
103.64321000
119.24452000
124.74332000
1315.46474100
1512.04460100
166.25347000
172.62216000
1813.77647100