Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

TE

Brenton Strange

JAX

TE13 · overall #119 · tier 4 · age 25

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Projected points

110

7.7/gm

Value over replacement

11

repl 111

Range

80–141

sd 31

Week

6.7

vs CLE

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
5.6
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
4.1
Rec yards / game
41
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.26
Total TD / game
0.26
Games projected
14.3
Observed pts/gm (history)
7.6
Games of history
33
Age multiplier
1.050
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.83
OL pass protection
-0.31
OL continuity
100%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
73%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.06
Scheme creativity
-0.04
Play action / motion
23% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
46
Effective contributors
2.55
Top player's share
57%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.53

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
CLE,DEN,NE
Window matchup
-0.23
Opponents after
CIN,PHI,HOU
After matchup
+0.20
Flip edge
-0.43
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.15

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

12

Points

95.0

Per game

7.92

17-gm pace

135

Best / worst

14.2 / 2.7

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
17.944590
23.253170
39.176610
47.576450
52.711220
1211.855930
1312.043451
144.263270
153.131260
1612.475391
176.953540
1814.266521