WR
Malik Nabers
NYGWR26 · overall #35 · tier 6 · age 23
Projected points
144
15.0/gm
Value over replacement
75
repl 115
Range
56–233
sd 89
Week
9.9
vs DAL
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 11.3
- Carries / game
- 0.2
- Receptions / game
- 6.9
- Rec yards / game
- 84
- Rush yards / game
- 1
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.54
- Total TD / game
- 0.54
- Games projected
- 9.6
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 17.1
- Games of history
- 19
- Age multiplier
- 1.052
- Usage carryover
- 0.90
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 31.8
- Projected plays / game
- 62.5
- Projected pass rate
- 56%
- OL run block
- +0.42
- OL pass protection
- -0.21
- OL continuity
- 75%
- 2TE rate
- 31%
- 3WR rate
- 68%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 48%
- Run friendly
- -0.80
- Scheme creativity
- +0.10
- Play action / motion
- 22% / 40%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- new head coach, committee
- Ambiguity score
- 98
- Effective contributors
- 3.53
- Top player's share
- 47%
- New play-caller
- yes
- Variance multiplier
- 2.55
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- DAL,LA,TEN
- Window matchup
- +0.65
- Opponents after
- ARI,WAS,NO
- After matchup
- +1.01
- Flip edge
- -0.36
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 8
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.53
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
4
Points
48.1
Per game
12.03
17-gm pace
204
Best / worst
33.2 / 2.3
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9.6 | 12 | 5 | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 33.2 | 13 | 9 | 167 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 2.3 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 3.0 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 |