Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

QB

Kirk Cousins

LV

QB29 · overall #223 · tier 7 · age 37

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Projected points

173

13.9/gm

Value over replacement

-30

repl 261

Range

107–239

sd 66

Week

11.2

vs MIA

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Pass attempts / game
31.7
Pass yards / game
225
Pass TD / game
1.41
Carries / game
1.7
Rush yards / game
4
Rush TD / game
0.06
Games projected
12.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
14.0
Games of history
49
Age multiplier
0.927
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.6
Projected plays / game
61.0
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.09
OL pass protection
-0.23
OL continuity
72%
2TE rate
42%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
+0.57
Scheme creativity
-0.06
Play action / motion
22% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach
Ambiguity score
66
Effective contributors
Top player's share
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
MIA,LAC,NO
Window matchup
-0.45
Opponents after
KC,NE,BUF
After matchup
-0.71
Flip edge
+0.27
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.36

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

10

Points

103.5

Per game

10.35

17-gm pace

176

Best / worst

26.9 / 1.2

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsCmpAttPa YdsPa TDINTRu AttRu YdsRu TD
31.2572900000
87.1213117300220
112.16144800120
1214.5162319921250
1313.4213323410000
142.5153016202000
1526.9304437330000
1617.62135197215-31
179.1132012610110
189.2183218011300