Fourth and Inches

Startup rankings

Every player ordered by what he is worth over the next six seasons, not just this one.

Dynasty value ages this season’s projection over six seasons on a measuredage curve, regresses his rate and availability toward the mean as the horizon lengthens, and discounts each year by the measured chance the player is still fantasy-relevant. All come from nflverse 2012–2025: production is estimated with player fixed effects, so each man is compared against his own career rather than against whoever else happens to be that age. Ages marked * are assumed.

#	Player	Pos	Age	2026 VOR	Dynasty value	vs redraft
5	Puka NacuaLA	WR	25	138	460	−1
6	Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA	WR	24	124	439	+1
11	Ja'Marr ChaseCIN	WR	26	128	372	−6
13	Amon-Ra St. BrownDET	WR	26	124	362	−7
14	Malik NabersNYG	WR	23	75	356	+21
16	Rashee RiceKC	WR	26	113	346	−4
22	Drake LondonATL	WR	25	88	289	+2
27	Emeka EgbukaTB	WR	23	63	277	+17
28	Tetairoa McMillanCAR	WR	23	61	267	+17
30	George PickensDAL	WR	25	77	252	+2
31	Luther Burden IIICHI	WR	22	43	251	+40
32	Nico CollinsHOU	WR	27	87	248	−7
36	Carnell TateTENR	WR	22*	31	244	+47
38	CeeDee LambDAL	WR	27	82	228	−11
39	Justin JeffersonMIN	WR	27	81	225	−11
42	Jordyn TysonNOR	WR	22*	24	218	+53
45	A.J. BrownNE	WR	29	79	203	−15
46	Chris OlaveNO	WR	26	72	202	−9
50	Garrett WilsonNYJ	WR	26	69	193	−10
52	Rome OdunzeCHI	WR	24	50	191	+5
57	Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI	WR	24	47	180	+6
65	Makai LemonPHIR	WR	22*	4	165	+68
66	Ladd McConkeyLAC	WR	24	41	159	+7
67	KC ConcepcionCLER	WR	22*	7	158	+63
69	Zay FlowersBAL	WR	25	47	155	−8
70	Jaylen WaddleDEN	WR	27	57	153	−19
71	Tee HigginsCIN	WR	27	56	151	−19
72	Brian Thomas Jr.JAX	WR	23	29	150	+15
73	Jameson WilliamsDET	WR	25	45	149	−9
74	Christian WatsonGB	WR	27	54	148	−20
75	Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN	WR	25	44	144	−8
77	Parker WashingtonJAX	WR	24	34	136	+5
80	DeVonta SmithPHI	WR	27	48	124	−20
85	Omar CooperNYJR	WR	22*	-19	112	+104
87	Mike EvansSF	WR	32	49	111	−28
89	Xavier WorthyKC	WR	23	16	103	+20
90	De'Zhaun StriblingSFR	WR	22*	-26	103	+117
91	Davante AdamsLA	WR	33	47	103	−29
93	Denzel BostonCLER	WR	22*	-17	97	+89
95	Alec PierceIND	WR	26	28	95	−7
97	Matthew GoldenGB	WR	23	12	88	+18
98	Chris Godwin Jr.TB	WR	30	37	87	−20
100	Jordan AddisonMIN	WR	24	20	86	0
101	DK MetcalfPIT	WR	28	35	86	−20
103	Jakobi MeyersJAX	WR	29	36	85	−24
104	Quentin JohnstonLAC	WR	24	19	84	−2
107	Germie BernardPITR	WR	22*	-37	79	+142
112	Keon ColemanBUF	WR	23	9	75	+11
114	DJ MooreBUF	WR	29	31	71	−30
116	Courtland SuttonDEN	WR	30	30	66	−30
117	Troy FranklinDEN	WR	23	5	65	+15
122	Jayden ReedGB	WR	26	26	61	−29
123	Antonio WilliamsWASR	WR	22*	-16	59	+57
125	Tank DellHOU	WR	26	23	59	−29
126	Terry McLaurinWAS	WR	30	26	57	−35
134	Tre TuckerLV	WR	25	13	46	−22
142	Jalen CokerCAR	WR	24	7	40	−13
144	Josh DownsIND	WR	25	11	40	−26
150	Stefon DiggsWAS	WR	32	18	37	−46
152	Deebo Samuel Sr.SF	WR	30	17	36	−45
153	Michael PittmanPIT	WR	28	17	36	−45
165	Jauan JenningsMIN	WR	29	13	26	−51
173	Romeo DoubsNE	WR	26	9	20	−51
174	Jayden HigginsHOU	WR	23	-8	20	−12
175	Michael WilsonARI	WR	26	9	19	−51
176	Khalil ShakirBUF	WR	26	8	19	−51
209	Jalen McMillanTB	WR	24	-1	11	−63
216	Elic AyomanorTEN	WR	23	-14	9	−39
225	Jalen NailorLV	WR	27	1	7	−85
226	Rashid ShaheedSEA	WR	27	1	7	−85
254	Cooper KuppSEA	WR	33	-5	1	−102
257	Darnell MooneyNYG	WR	28	-6	0	−101
260	Xavier LegetteCAR	WR	25	-11	0	−92
261	Calvin RidleyTEN	WR	31	-11	0	−92
262	Kayshon BoutteNE	WR	24	-11	0	−92
265	Rashod BatemanBAL	WR	26	-13	0	−90
266	Jerry JeudyCLE	WR	27	-15	0	−87
269	Malik WashingtonMIA	WR	25	-17	0	−85
276	Darius SlaytonNYG	WR	29	-22	0	−81
277	Calvin Austin IIINYG	WR	27	-22	0	−81
279	Josh PalmerBUF	WR	26	-24	0	−81
281	DeMario DouglasNE	WR	25	-25	0	−80
282	Dontayvion WicksPHI	WR	25	-26	0	−79
288	Devaughn VeleNO	WR	28	-27	0	−78
291	Marvin Mims Jr.DEN	WR	24	-28	0	−77
300	Chimere DikeTEN	WR	24	-31	0	−75
306	Andrei IosivasCIN	WR	26	-33	0	−75
310	Olamide ZaccheausATL	WR	29	-34	0	−74
319	Adonai MitchellNYJ	WR	23	-37	0	−71
331	Tre HarrisLAC	WR	24	-39	0	−71