Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Rome Odunze

CHI

WR20 · overall #57 · tier 6 · age 24

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Projected points

150

10.8/gm

Value over replacement

50

repl 115

Range

98–202

sd 52

Week

9.4

@ CAR

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
8.0
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
4.5
Rec yards / game
63
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.37
Total TD / game
0.37
Games projected
13.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
10.8
Games of history
29
Age multiplier
1.044
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
62.4
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+1.37
OL pass protection
+1.06
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
+0.60
Scheme creativity
+0.58
Play action / motion
26% / 54%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.26
Top player's share
29%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
CAR,MIN,PHI
Window matchup
-0.58
Opponents after
NYJ,GB,ATL
After matchup
+0.71
Flip edge
-1.29
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.24

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

12

Points

124.1

Per game

10.34

17-gm pace

176

Best / worst

28.3 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
112.79637100
228.3117128200
313.77362100
414.98469100
64.25232000
74.16231000
814.9107114000
90.0300000
1017.610686100
115.16241000
126.89353000
131.8628000