Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Rome Odunze

CHI

WR24 · overall #60 · tier 5 · age 24

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Projected points

151

10.9/gm

Value over replacement

48

repl 119

Range

100–203

sd 52

Week

8.0

vs NYJ

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
8.0
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
4.6
Rec yards / game
63
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.37
Total TD / game
0.37
Games projected
13.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
10.8
Games of history
29
Age multiplier
1.044
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.8
Projected plays / game
62.5
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+1.36
OL pass protection
+1.05
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
36%
3WR rate
64%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
+0.61
Scheme creativity
+0.58
Play action / motion
26% / 54%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.26
Top player's share
29%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
NYJ,GB,ATL
Window matchup
+0.54
Opponents after
NE,SEA,TB
After matchup
+0.10
Flip edge
+0.43
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
10
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.33

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

12

Points

124.1

Per game

10.34

17-gm pace

176

Best / worst

28.3 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
112.7WR219637100
228.3WR4117128200
313.7WR187362100
414.9WR178469100
64.2WR575232000
74.1WR636231000
814.9WR11107114000
90.0WR97300000
1017.6WR1010686100
115.1WR526241000
126.8WR389353000
131.8WR86628000