WR
DeVonta Smith
PHIWR19 · overall #60 · tier 6 · age 27
Projected points
151
10.5/gm
Value over replacement
48
repl 115
Range
96–206
sd 55
Week
10.6
vs WAS
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 6.8
- Carries / game
- 0.0
- Receptions / game
- 4.6
- Rec yards / game
- 61
- Rush yards / game
- 0
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.39
- Total TD / game
- 0.39
- Games projected
- 14.4
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 13.2
- Games of history
- 63
- Age multiplier
- 0.939
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 32.8
- Projected plays / game
- 61.3
- Projected pass rate
- 53%
- OL run block
- +1.42
- OL pass protection
- +1.23
- OL continuity
- 93%
- 2TE rate
- 36%
- 3WR rate
- 63%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 43%
- Run friendly
- +0.89
- Scheme creativity
- +0.20
- Play action / motion
- 23% / 46%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 63
- Effective contributors
- 2.93
- Top player's share
- 42%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.79
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- sell high
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- WAS,TEN,CHI
- Window matchup
- +0.74
- Opponents after
- LA,JAX,CAR
- After matchup
- +0.14
- Flip edge
- +0.60
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 10
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.27
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
17
Points
163.3
Per game
9.61
17-gm pace
163
Best / worst
28.8 / 1.3
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3.1 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 7.3 | 6 | 4 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16.0 | 9 | 8 | 60 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 3.9 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 15.4 | 10 | 8 | 114 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 6.9 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 28.8 | 11 | 9 | 183 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 11.4 | 9 | 6 | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 14.9 | 7 | 4 | 69 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 1.3 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 11.9 | 11 | 6 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 7.3 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | 5.7 | 8 | 4 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 6.0 | 2 | 2 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 13.2 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 3.5 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 6.7 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |