Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

TE

Tucker Kraft

GB

TE4 · overall #55 · tier 2 · age 25

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Projected points

144

11.0/gm

Value over replacement

53

repl 111

Range

95–192

sd 49

Week

8.4

@ MIN

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
6.4
Carries / game
0.1
Receptions / game
4.6
Rec yards / game
55
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.53
Total TD / game
0.53
Games projected
13.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
10.5
Games of history
39
Age multiplier
1.050
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
35.1
Projected plays / game
60.4
Projected pass rate
55%
OL run block
-0.65
OL pass protection
-0.47
OL continuity
64%
2TE rate
32%
3WR rate
60%
1st-down pass rate
41%
Run friendly
+0.90
Scheme creativity
+0.53
Play action / motion
23% / 59%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
56
Effective contributors
3.04
Top player's share
45%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.69

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
MIN,NYJ,ATL
Window matchup
+0.08
Opponents after
TB,CHI,DAL
After matchup
+0.25
Flip edge
-0.17
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.07

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

8

Points

101.2

Per game

12.65

17-gm pace

215

Best / worst

29.8 / 3.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
18.942161
221.4761241
34.443290
48.155560
611.322431
714.3105581
829.8971432
93.032200