QB
Bo Nix
DENQB6 · overall #105 · tier 2 · age 26
Projected points
267
17.5/gm
Value over replacement
17
repl 261
Range
227–307
sd 40
Week
14.7
@ KC
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Pass attempts / game
- 33.3
- Pass yards / game
- 241
- Pass TD / game
- 1.50
- Carries / game
- 4.6
- Rush yards / game
- 19
- Rush TD / game
- 0.20
- Games projected
- 15.3
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 18.3
- Games of history
- 34
- Age multiplier
- 1.038
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 33.2
- Projected plays / game
- 62.2
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- +1.24
- OL pass protection
- +1.55
- OL continuity
- 98%
- 2TE rate
- 23%
- 3WR rate
- 72%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 49%
- Run friendly
- -0.38
- Scheme creativity
- +0.14
- Play action / motion
- 25% / 43%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 24
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.34
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- avoid
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- KC,JAX,LA
- Window matchup
- -0.66
- Opponents after
- SF,LAC,SEA
- After matchup
- -0.37
- Flip edge
- -0.28
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 10
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.22
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
17
Points
304.8
Per game
17.93
17-gm pace
305
Best / worst
40.0 / 5.8
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6.8 | 25 | 40 | 176 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 0 |
| 2 | 20.2 | 22 | 30 | 206 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 0 |
| 3 | 13.4 | 14 | 25 | 153 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 0 |
| 4 | 25.7 | 29 | 42 | 326 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 1 |
| 5 | 17.9 | 24 | 39 | 242 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 0 |
| 6 | 13.4 | 19 | 30 | 174 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 0 |
| 7 | 40.0 | 27 | 50 | 279 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 48 | 2 |
| 8 | 23.8 | 19 | 29 | 247 | 4 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | 18.5 | 18 | 37 | 173 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 | 5.8 | 16 | 28 | 150 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | 12.6 | 24 | 37 | 295 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 | 16.4 | 29 | 45 | 321 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 | 16.0 | 31 | 38 | 212 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 |
| 15 | 29.1 | 23 | 34 | 302 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 | 15.2 | 28 | 47 | 352 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 | 19.5 | 26 | 38 | 182 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 42 | 1 |
| 18 | 10.5 | 14 | 23 | 141 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 49 | 0 |