Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

TE

Oronde Gadsden II

LAC

TE23 · overall #149 · tier 6 · age 23

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Projected points

96

6.7/gm

Value over replacement

-3

repl 111

Range

57–135

sd 39

Week

7.5

vs ARI

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
4.8
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
3.4
Rec yards / game
38
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.21
Total TD / game
0.21
Games projected
14.3
Observed pts/gm (history)
8.8
Games of history
15
Age multiplier
1.060
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.4
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.46
OL pass protection
+0.58
OL continuity
37%
2TE rate
16%
3WR rate
71%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.07
Scheme creativity
+0.88
Play action / motion
25% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
38
Effective contributors
1.91
Top player's share
70%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.41

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk4
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
ARI,LV,BUF
Window matchup
+0.89
Opponents after
SEA,DEN,KC
After matchup
-0.54
Flip edge
+1.44
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.03

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

15

Points

106.9

Per game

7.13

17-gm pace

121

Best / worst

25.9 / 1.2

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
37.175460
42.632160
51.911140
68.387680
725.9971641
816.255771
99.355680
102.863130
115.152410
133.221270
141.24170
158.154610
161.21170
1710.763321
183.322230