RB
Breece Hall
NYJRB19 · overall #34 · tier 5 · age 25
Projected points
139
13.9/gm
Value over replacement
67
repl 116
Range
94–185
sd 45
Week
10.1
@ CHI
The take
written by hand
16.7 carries and 4.2 targets a game is a real workload. 13.7 games and a questionable tag are why he's RB12 rather than eighth.
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 4.2
- Carries / game
- 16.3
- Receptions / game
- 3.2
- Rec yards / game
- 26
- Rush yards / game
- 69
- Rush TD / game
- 0.32
- Rec TD / game
- 0.11
- Total TD / game
- 0.43
- Games projected
- 10.0
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 14.1
- Games of history
- 56
- Age multiplier
- 1.000
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.2
- Projected plays / game
- 60.9
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -0.17
- OL pass protection
- -0.10
- OL continuity
- 79%
- 2TE rate
- 22%
- 3WR rate
- 72%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 41%
- Run friendly
- -0.43
- Scheme creativity
- -0.07
- Play action / motion
- 19% / 57%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- clear lead
- Ambiguity score
- 9
- Effective contributors
- 1.80
- Top player's share
- 73%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.27
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- CHI,CLE,NE
- Window matchup
- -0.25
- Opponents after
- MIA,LV,KC
- After matchup
- +0.10
- Flip edge
- -0.35
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 13
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.06
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
16
Points
189.7
Per game
11.85
17-gm pace
202
Best / worst
31.9 / 4.3
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Rank | Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15.5 | RB9 | 19 | 107 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 38 | 0 |
| 2 | 4.8 | RB43 | 10 | 29 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| 3 | 7.2 | RB32 | 9 | 21 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 0 |
| 4 | 13.6 | RB19 | 14 | 81 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 0 |
| 5 | 15.5 | RB13 | 14 | 113 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 42 | 0 |
| 6 | 5.9 | RB31 | 22 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 6.2 | RB31 | 11 | 38 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
| 8 | 31.9 | RB3 | 18 | 133 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 | 19.0 | RB6 | 21 | 83 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 42 | 1 |
| 11 | 7.4 | RB33 | 14 | 58 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 | 11.9 | RB16 | 16 | 44 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 0 |
| 13 | 14.6 | RB16 | 19 | 68 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 | 4.3 | RB44 | 14 | 43 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 4.7 | RB45 | 12 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 | 7.3 | RB40 | 16 | 54 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 | 19.9 | RB9 | 14 | 111 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 0 |