Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Quinshon Judkins

CLE

RB20 · overall #26 · tier 5 · age 22

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Projected points

179

12.9/gm

Value over replacement

84

repl 110

Range

133–225

sd 46

Week

9.5

@ JAX

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
3.0
Carries / game
18.5
Receptions / game
2.3
Rec yards / game
15
Rush yards / game
69
Rush TD / game
0.54
Rec TD / game
0.01
Total TD / game
0.55
Games projected
13.8
Observed pts/gm (history)
12.2
Games of history
14
Age multiplier
1.067
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.4
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.24
OL pass protection
-1.83
OL continuity
28%
2TE rate
37%
3WR rate
63%
1st-down pass rate
44%
Run friendly
+1.14
Scheme creativity
-0.09
Play action / motion
23% / 44%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, clear lead
Ambiguity score
85
Effective contributors
2.13
Top player's share
65%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
1.91

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
JAX,TB,CAR
Window matchup
-0.89
Opponents after
PIT,NYJ,BAL
After matchup
-0.52
Flip edge
-0.37
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.17

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

14

Points

156.8

Per game

11.20

17-gm pace

190

Best / worst

26.4 / 3.2

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
28.61061033100
316.0189412110
419.52182144330
513.323110021180
63.6123601000
726.4258430000
83.2919033-20
109.52275032100
115.9175902000
1216.7164720000
1314.42391033180
148.91426031580
153.21221043-40
167.6822065290