Jordyn Tyson
NOROOKIE R1WR50 · overall #113 · tier 9 · age 22
Projected points
78
8.7/gm
Value over replacement
11
repl 119
Range
56–101
sd 22
Week
0.0
vs ATL
Why this ranking
hand-set 2026-09-02
Games set to 9.0 on Matt's read that he is OUT UNTIL WEEK 8. GAMES ONLY, no fantasy_points -- his per-game rate is not in dispute, only how many games he plays, and that is precisely what this column exists to say. The model had 14.1 games off a Doubtful designation worth only injury_games_mult 0.945; he is on IR now. WEEK 8 IS NEW ORLEANS' BYE, so 'back for week 8' is not a week-8 game -- his first is week 9, and weeks 9-17 is 9 games. The number is unchanged from the 18 Aug version, which reached the same 9.0 from a vaguer 'roughly two months'; what changed is that the premise is now a date somebody can check rather than a duration that silently ages. Re-derive if the return slips: on the shipped schedule NO plays weeks 1-7 and 9-17, so games = 18 - week_of_return, less one if the bye is still ahead. WHY THE MODEL DID NOT HAVE IT: exactly one item across all 49 cached feeds mentions him -- Canal Street Chronicles, 'When should we expect Jordyn Tyson to return from his injury?' -- and the timeline is in the article BODY, which is never fetched. A headline phrased as a question carries no gradeable pattern, so prose_severity returns None, provisional_severity does not fire, and the only graded item is a three-week-old ESPN note saying he PASSED his conditioning test. This is the title-and-description-only limit doing real damage rather than merely wasting a feed slot. Effect is modest and worth knowing: WR43 to WR48, because VOR is games x (rate - replacement) and a WR42's roster spot is worth little above the wire either way. The larger consequence is in New Orleans, where his 5.69 targets/g redistribute -- Olave to roughly 10.4 and Juwan Johnson to 5.8.
This is a view, not a correction — the model said something different and was overruled. See how it works.
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 5.6
- Carries / game
- 0.1
- Receptions / game
- 3.6
- Rec yards / game
- 48
- Rush yards / game
- 1
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.31
- Total TD / game
- 0.31
- Games projected
- 9.0
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- –
- Games of history
- 0
- Age multiplier
- 1.000
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 31.6
- Projected plays / game
- 62.8
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- -0.21
- OL pass protection
- +0.11
- OL continuity
- 76%
- 2TE rate
- 25%
- 3WR rate
- 69%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 47%
- Run friendly
- -0.26
- Scheme creativity
- -0.29
- Play action / motion
- 19% / 59%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 3.72
- Top player's share
- 45%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 4-6
- Window opponents
- ATL,MIN,NYG
- Window matchup
- +0.02
- Opponents after
- PIT,CLE
- After matchup
- +0.48
- Flip edge
- -0.45
- Buy basis
- recent form
- Bye week
- 8
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.25
Last season game log
week by week
No 2025-season weekly record for Jordyn Tyson — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.