WR
Tetairoa McMillan
CARWR13 · overall #45 · tier 4 · age 23
Projected points
169
11.2/gm
Value over replacement
61
repl 115
Range
119–218
sd 49
Week
10.6
vs CHI
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Targets / game
- 8.0
- Carries / game
- 0.0
- Receptions / game
- 4.8
- Rec yards / game
- 63
- Rush yards / game
- 0
- Rush TD / game
- 0.00
- Rec TD / game
- 0.43
- Total TD / game
- 0.43
- Games projected
- 15.0
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 12.9
- Games of history
- 17
- Age multiplier
- 1.052
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 34.7
- Projected plays / game
- 59.9
- Projected pass rate
- 57%
- OL run block
- +0.31
- OL pass protection
- +0.20
- OL continuity
- 60%
- 2TE rate
- 25%
- 3WR rate
- 73%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 40%
- Run friendly
- +0.67
- Scheme creativity
- -0.69
- Play action / motion
- 21% / 40%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- committee
- Ambiguity score
- 75
- Effective contributors
- 3.79
- Top player's share
- 42%
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.85
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- hold
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- CHI,ATL,CLE
- Window matchup
- +0.02
- Opponents after
- DET,PHI
- After matchup
- -0.48
- Flip edge
- +0.50
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 5
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- -0.35
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
17
Points
178.4
Per game
10.49
17-gm pace
178
Best / worst
29.0 / 1.0
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Tgt | Rec | Re Yds | Re TD | Att | Ru Yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9.3 | 9 | 5 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 13.0 | 10 | 6 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 6.3 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 8.2 | 8 | 4 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 10.3 | 8 | 6 | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 16.4 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | 4.8 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 13.4 | 10 | 7 | 99 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | 6.6 | 6 | 4 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | 8.5 | 8 | 5 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | 29.0 | 12 | 8 | 130 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | 10.5 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | 10.8 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | 3.5 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 16.3 | 10 | 6 | 73 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1.0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | 10.5 | 6 | 4 | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 |