Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

TE

George Kittle

SF

TE9 · overall #70 · tier 3 · age 32

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Projected points

133

10.3/gm

Value over replacement

43

repl 111

Range

85–181

sd 48

Week

0.0

@ LA

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
5.9
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
4.5
Rec yards / game
53
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.52
Total TD / game
0.52
Games projected
12.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
14.7
Games of history
57
Age multiplier
0.865
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
35.5
Projected plays / game
59.4
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+0.00
OL pass protection
-0.53
OL continuity
78%
2TE rate
17%
3WR rate
45%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
+0.62
Scheme creativity
+0.36
Play action / motion
23% / 70%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
45
Effective contributors
2.39
Top player's share
53%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.47

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk4
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
LA,MIA,ARI
Window matchup
+1.33
Opponents after
DEN,SEA,WAS
After matchup
-0.12
Flip edge
+1.45
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-1.05

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

11

Points

133.0

Per game

12.09

17-gm pace

206

Best / worst

21.7 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
110.544251
70.02000
812.354431
94.944320
1018.999841
1121.766672
1210.8106780
138.754670
1518.898881
1621.0871151
185.475290