Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Tre Tucker

LV

WR41 · overall #112 · tier 8 · age 25

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Projected points

123

8.1/gm

Value over replacement

13

repl 115

Range

51–194

sd 71

Week

8.0

vs MIA

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
5.8
Carries / game
0.6
Receptions / game
3.5
Rec yards / game
43
Rush yards / game
3
Rush TD / game
0.01
Rec TD / game
0.27
Total TD / game
0.28
Games projected
15.2
Observed pts/gm (history)
8.5
Games of history
47
Age multiplier
1.026
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.6
Projected plays / game
61.0
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.09
OL pass protection
-0.23
OL continuity
72%
2TE rate
42%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
+0.57
Scheme creativity
-0.06
Play action / motion
22% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
4.24
Top player's share
38%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
MIA,LAC,NO
Window matchup
-0.36
Opponents after
KC,NE,BUF
After matchup
-0.54
Flip edge
+0.18
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
13
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.20

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

17

Points

133.2

Per game

7.84

17-gm pace

133

Best / worst

36.9 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
112.43254100
23.48312017
336.998145314
43.22213029
59.16462019
69.55570000
75.86533000
95.34338000
104.53228017
1112.78447100
124.310328000
133.53320000
143.45224000
150.0300000
167.454430211
177.46549020
184.46230014