Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Chris Rodriguez Jr.

JAX

RB49 · overall #136 · tier 8 · age 26

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Projected points

82

7.2/gm

Value over replacement

4

repl 110

Range

51–114

sd 32

Week

5.2

vs CLE

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
0.8
Carries / game
9.5
Receptions / game
0.7
Rec yards / game
5
Rush yards / game
40
Rush TD / game
0.32
Rec TD / game
0.00
Total TD / game
0.32
Games projected
11.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.5
Games of history
28
Age multiplier
0.953
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
61.1
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.83
OL pass protection
-0.31
OL continuity
100%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
73%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.06
Scheme creativity
-0.04
Play action / motion
23% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
12
Effective contributors
1.85
Top player's share
70%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.29

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
CLE,DEN,NE
Window matchup
-0.07
Opponents after
CIN,PHI,HOU
After matchup
+0.00
Flip edge
-0.07
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.29

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

12

Points

90.5

Per game

7.54

17-gm pace

128

Best / worst

14.8 / 0.2

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
33.9113900000
45.975900000
50.75700000
77.231210000
80.21200000
912.5126510000
107.661610000
119.0157901160
1310.1114111000
145.2105200000
1613.4156311160
1814.81665111180