Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Darius Slayton

NYG

WR76 · overall #195 · tier 10 · age 29

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Projected points

82

5.7/gm

Value over replacement

-22

repl 115

Range

27–138

sd 56

Week

5.6

vs DAL

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
4.2
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
2.5
Rec yards / game
36
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.16
Total TD / game
0.16
Games projected
14.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
7.6
Games of history
60
Age multiplier
0.876
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.8
Projected plays / game
62.5
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+0.42
OL pass protection
-0.21
OL continuity
75%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
68%
1st-down pass rate
48%
Run friendly
-0.80
Scheme creativity
+0.10
Play action / motion
22% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
3.53
Top player's share
47%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
DAL,LA,TEN
Window matchup
+0.65
Opponents after
ARI,WAS,NO
After matchup
+1.01
Flip edge
-0.36
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.53

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

14

Points

80.3

Per game

5.74

17-gm pace

98

Best / worst

13.1 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
10.0100000
27.13261000
35.04430000
45.94344000
52.66331000
83.65226000
98.77562000
1010.94489000
122.82123000
1313.13241100
157.310453000
161.3218000
174.63236000
187.49434000