Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

TE

Dalton Schultz

HOU

TE18 · overall #148 · tier 5 · age 30

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Projected points

102

6.8/gm

Value over replacement

-1

repl 111

Range

75–129

sd 27

Week

6.0

vs BUF

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
5.5
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
3.9
Rec yards / game
36
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.22
Total TD / game
0.22
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
9.3
Games of history
64
Age multiplier
0.911
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.9
Projected plays / game
61.9
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-1.37
OL pass protection
-1.17
OL continuity
70%
2TE rate
20%
3WR rate
76%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.37
Scheme creativity
-0.30
Play action / motion
23% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
3
Effective contributors
1.47
Top player's share
82%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.16

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk4
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
BUF,CIN,IND
Window matchup
+0.61
Opponents after
DAL,TEN,JAX
After matchup
+0.11
Flip edge
+0.50
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.64

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

17

Points

136.7

Per game

8.04

17-gm pace

137

Best / worst

17.6 / 1.3

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
14.353280
24.443290
36.465390
45.565300
58.565600
714.3109980
83.432240
910.786770
1014.8117531
118.196510
121.34180
139.087550
143.743220
1517.698761
1612.055351
173.443190
189.344730