Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Stefon Diggs

WAS

WR42 · overall #99 · tier 8 · age 32

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Projected points

121

8.7/gm

Value over replacement

17

repl 119

Range

50–191

sd 70

Week

11.0

vs IND

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
6.1
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
4.1
Rec yards / game
48
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.01
Rec TD / game
0.30
Total TD / game
0.31
Games projected
13.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
14.0
Games of history
58
Age multiplier
0.782
Usage carryover
0.89

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.8
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
-0.49
OL pass protection
-0.84
OL continuity
84%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
67%
1st-down pass rate
45%
Run friendly
-0.19
Scheme creativity
-0.16
Play action / motion
20% / 50%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.70
Top player's share
36%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
IND,NYG,SF
Window matchup
-0.05
Opponents after
PHI,LA
After matchup
-0.59
Flip edge
+0.54
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.41

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

17

Points

167.8

Per game

9.87

17-gm pace

168

Best / worst

19.6 / 3.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
18.7WR347657000
25.2WR705432000
33.8WR713323000
413.1WR2176101000
519.6WR51210146000
64.3WR553328000
710.4WR247769000
88.9WR355314100
911.3WR264338100
1013.1WR228546100
1115.0WR14119105000
123.0WR673220000
134.1WR584326000
154.1WR684326000
1618.3WR9109138000
1719.1WR666101100
185.8WR413343000