Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Jadarian Price

SEAROOKIE R1

RB25 · overall #48 · tier 6 · age 22

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Projected points

163

10.9/gm

Value over replacement

55

repl 116

Range

117–209

sd 46

Week

6.8

vs LAC

The take

written by hand

13.7 carries and 4.0 targets at 22, and the reason he's this high is that Charbonnet is on PUP. That's a real opening and it may well be a temporary one.

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
3.4
Carries / game
12.8
Receptions / game
2.7
Rec yards / game
18
Rush yards / game
55
Rush TD / game
0.39
Rec TD / game
0.08
Total TD / game
0.48
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
–
Games of history
0
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.9
Projected plays / game
61.2
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.01
OL pass protection
+0.28
OL continuity
99%
2TE rate
34%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
50%
Run friendly
+0.17
Scheme creativity
-0.21
Play action / motion
23% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
39
Effective contributors
2.27
Top player's share
51%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.43

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
LAC,SF,DEN
Window matchup
+0.04
Opponents after
KC,CHI,ARI
After matchup
+0.08
Flip edge
-0.04
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.20

Last season game log

week by week

No 2025-season weekly record for Jadarian Price — rookies and players who did not record a stat line have none.