Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Brian Robinson

ATL

RB43 · overall #155 · tier 8 · age 27

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Projected points

90

6.4/gm

Value over replacement

-6

repl 110

Range

44–136

sd 46

Week

5.0

@ PIT

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.4
Carries / game
8.2
Receptions / game
1.1
Rec yards / game
9
Rush yards / game
34
Rush TD / game
0.21
Rec TD / game
0.05
Total TD / game
0.25
Games projected
14.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
6.8
Games of history
58
Age multiplier
0.934
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
33.4
Projected plays / game
62.0
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+0.08
OL pass protection
+0.66
OL continuity
82%
2TE rate
33%
3WR rate
60%
1st-down pass rate
42%
Run friendly
+0.36
Scheme creativity
-0.15
Play action / motion
18% / 65%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
37
Effective contributors
1.87
Top player's share
65%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.40

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
PIT,CAR,GB
Window matchup
-0.65
Opponents after
NO,BAL,CHI
After matchup
-0.17
Flip edge
-0.48
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.47

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

17

Points

58.5

Per game

3.44

17-gm pace

58

Best / worst

11.3 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
14.293302140
22.4620011-10
32.222200000
42.152100000
51.251200000
62.30003380
73.693600000
80.00000000
911.355310000
1011.084111140
112.482401000
124.974002140
132.682600000
152.192100000
162.052001000
173.342201160
180.92900000