QB
Dak Prescott
DALQB9 · overall #66 · tier 3 · age 33
Projected points
264
19.6/gm
Value over replacement
44
repl 261
Range
224–305
sd 40
Week
17.6
@ NYG
Projected usage
opportunity, before efficiency
- Pass attempts / game
- 39.6
- Pass yards / game
- 285
- Pass TD / game
- 1.95
- Carries / game
- 3.2
- Rush yards / game
- 13
- Rush TD / game
- 0.12
- Games projected
- 13.5
- Observed pts/gm (history)
- 18.0
- Games of history
- 54
- Age multiplier
- 0.958
- Usage carryover
- 1.00
Team context
what scales this projection
- Neutral sec / play
- 31.0
- Projected plays / game
- 64.0
- Projected pass rate
- 58%
- OL run block
- +0.16
- OL pass protection
- +0.01
- OL continuity
- 92%
- 2TE rate
- 20%
- 3WR rate
- 72%
- 1st-down pass rate
- 49%
- Run friendly
- -0.93
- Scheme creativity
- -0.34
- Play action / motion
- 22% / 52%
Situation
ambiguity widens the projection range
- Label
- settled
- Ambiguity score
- 24
- Effective contributors
- –
- Top player's share
- –
- New play-caller
- no
- Variance multiplier
- 1.34
Trade window
schedule-driven buy / sell timing
- Action
- buy now, flip wk4
- Window weeks
- 1-3
- Window opponents
- NYG,WAS,BAL
- Window matchup
- +0.86
- Opponents after
- HOU,TB,GB
- After matchup
- +0.06
- Flip edge
- +0.80
- Buy basis
- season average
- Bye week
- 14
- Playoff schedule (15-17)
- +0.19
2025 game log
full season · Half PPR
Games
17
Points
313.8
Per game
18.46
17-gm pace
314
Best / worst
31.0 / 0.7
Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.
| Wk | Pts | Cmp | Att | Pa Yds | Pa TD | INT | Ru Att | Ru Yds | Ru TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7.8 | 21 | 34 | 188 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 2 | 22.1 | 38 | 52 | 361 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 0 |
| 3 | 12.0 | 31 | 40 | 251 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 31.0 | 31 | 40 | 319 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | 28.3 | 18 | 29 | 237 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 0 |
| 6 | 22.3 | 25 | 34 | 261 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 7 | 23.3 | 21 | 30 | 264 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 8 | 6.6 | 19 | 31 | 188 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 0 |
| 9 | 15.4 | 24 | 39 | 250 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 | 24.3 | 25 | 33 | 268 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| 12 | 27.1 | 23 | 36 | 354 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
| 13 | 20.6 | 27 | 39 | 320 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | 18.4 | 31 | 47 | 376 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 | 12.0 | 23 | 38 | 294 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | 19.2 | 21 | 30 | 244 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 | 22.7 | 19 | 37 | 307 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 | 0.7 | 7 | 11 | 70 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 0 |