Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

Advanced stats

Projected opportunity and the team context multiplying it. Opportunity and efficiency are shown separately because that is how the projection is built — a fast team with a poor line gives more chances at lower value per chance.

#PlayerPosTgt/GCar/GRec/GRecYd/GRushYd/GPts/GPrior obsAge×CarryoverTeam playsOL runOL passVar×Gms2025 EPA/tgt2025 succ%
1Amon-Ra St. BrownDETWR10.20.27.085116.019.11.011.0062.4+0.69+0.611.7066+0.3253%
2Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEAWR10.40.36.989215.617.51.041.0061.2+0.01+0.281.5451+0.5161%
3Ja'Marr ChaseCINWR11.20.27.385116.220.41.011.0060.8-0.73-1.391.6261+0.2253%
4Malik NabersNYGWR11.00.26.782114.617.11.050.9062.6+0.24-0.012.5519+0.0746%
5CeeDee LambDALWR9.20.46.077213.517.60.941.0064.1+0.24+0.091.8562+0.2555%
6Drake LondonATLWR9.60.05.975013.315.61.031.0061.7+0.05+0.172.0062+0.2254%
7Garrett WilsonNYJWR11.20.16.880014.114.31.011.0060.9-0.17-0.101.8558-0.0340%
8George PickensDALWR8.20.15.175012.514.71.031.0064.1+0.24+0.091.8565+0.6464%
9Nico CollinsHOUWR9.10.15.779113.815.70.941.0061.9-1.37-1.192.4052+0.2947%
10Emeka EgbukaTBWR8.90.15.170112.111.61.051.0062.1+0.87+1.312.0017+0.0642%
11Zay FlowersBALWR7.50.55.066311.313.51.010.9060.2+0.50-0.172.1350+0.3957%
12Tetairoa McMillanCARWR8.10.04.863011.212.91.051.0060.0+0.33+0.211.8517+0.2351%
13Puka NacuaLAWR10.30.77.096416.622.01.031.0061.9+0.74+0.722.2644+0.6267%
14Jaylen WaddleDENWR7.50.24.870111.612.10.940.8962.2+1.17+1.482.2662+0.3456%
15Rashee RiceKCWR9.30.46.174114.016.91.011.0063.2+0.13-0.041.8528+0.2052%
16DeVonta SmithPHIWR7.30.04.965011.313.20.941.0061.3+1.28+1.101.7963+0.4354%
17Davante AdamsLAWR7.60.04.459011.416.90.751.0061.9+0.74+0.721.7462+0.2350%
18Deebo Samuel Sr.SFWR7.01.44.555711.312.50.840.8959.5-0.01-0.562.2659+0.1854%
19Tee HigginsCINWR7.30.04.557011.314.60.941.0060.8-0.73-1.391.6253+0.3655%
20Jameson WilliamsDETWR6.50.44.061211.012.31.031.0062.4+0.69+0.611.7050+0.5556%
21Ladd McConkeyLACWR7.00.04.459010.412.61.041.0061.1+0.45+0.572.0032+0.0850%
22Chris OlaveNOWR8.30.05.265011.315.01.011.0062.8-0.21+0.111.8555+0.2350%
23Rome OdunzeCHIWR8.00.14.663010.910.81.041.0062.5+1.36+1.051.8529+0.2545%
24DJ MooreBUFWR6.10.63.85039.412.40.880.8961.1+1.32+1.302.2668+0.2247%
25Courtland SuttonDENWR6.50.04.05409.613.20.841.0062.2+1.17+1.481.8564+0.3353%
26Jakobi MeyersJAXWR7.00.24.65419.712.40.881.0061.3-0.72-0.201.8561+0.0658%
27Justin JeffersonMINWR9.30.15.981013.315.40.941.0061.1-0.05+0.102.1661-0.1049%
28Carnell TateTENWR5.80.13.85019.3–1.001.0059.5-1.29-1.251.550––
29Tre TuckerLVWR6.40.63.84738.78.51.030.9060.9-1.08-0.322.5547+0.2445%
30Mike EvansSFWR6.80.04.15409.914.30.750.8959.5-0.01-0.562.9354+0.0847%
31Marvin Harrison Jr.ARIWR6.70.03.95209.411.41.041.0062.2-0.14-0.291.9329+0.4255%
32DK MetcalfPITWR6.00.03.64908.712.80.910.9061.4-0.51+0.022.5563+0.3250%
33Alec PierceINDWR5.40.13.15318.810.31.011.0061.8+0.69+0.763.2664+0.6654%
34Luther Burden IIICHIWR5.70.43.85128.58.31.051.0062.5+1.36+1.051.8515+0.3555%
35Brian Thomas Jr.JAXWR6.00.33.64928.912.81.051.0061.3-0.72-0.202.0431+0.2249%
36Parker WashingtonJAXWR6.30.33.95019.19.91.041.0061.3-0.72-0.201.8538+0.2752%
37Michael WilsonARIWR5.80.03.64608.311.11.011.0062.2-0.14-0.291.9346+0.2050%
38A.J. BrownNEWR8.40.15.372112.515.70.880.8960.1-0.38-0.393.9762+0.2552%
39Jordan AddisonMINWR5.40.13.34418.411.61.041.0061.1-0.05+0.101.6646+0.1848%
40Terry McLaurinWASWR6.10.13.85008.912.80.811.0060.9-0.49-0.841.8561+0.5362%
41Michael PittmanPITWR6.40.04.24608.312.40.910.8961.4-0.51+0.023.1165+0.2055%
42Jerry JeudyCLEWR6.60.33.84828.29.50.940.9061.0-1.18-1.792.8065-0.3036%
43Romeo DoubsNEWR6.10.03.84608.710.11.010.8960.1-0.38-0.392.2659+0.4958%
44Christian WatsonGBWR5.90.23.55319.910.90.941.0060.5-0.62-0.441.8547+0.5960%
45Stefon DiggsWASWR6.10.04.14808.714.00.780.8960.9-0.49-0.842.2658+0.5864%
46Josh DownsINDWR6.10.13.94708.19.91.031.0061.8+0.69+0.761.8547+0.1050%
47Quentin JohnstonLACWR5.40.13.34418.311.51.031.0061.1+0.45+0.572.0045+0.2543%
48Troy FranklinDENWR5.80.33.54317.98.41.051.0062.2+1.17+1.482.0433+0.0947%
49Xavier WorthyKCWR5.80.83.54348.29.11.051.0063.2+0.13-0.041.8530+0.2047%
50Wan'Dale RobinsonTENWR7.20.24.74718.411.91.030.8959.5-1.29-1.253.1154+0.1445%
51Khalil ShakirBUFWR5.40.13.74607.910.01.011.0061.1+1.32+1.301.8557+0.1245%
52Matthew GoldenGBWR6.40.84.05048.25.31.051.0060.5-0.62-0.441.8514+0.5055%
53KC ConcepcionCLEWR5.10.13.34407.6–1.001.0061.0-1.18-1.791.550––
54Makai LemonPHIWR5.20.13.44507.5–1.001.0061.3+1.28+1.101.550––
55Jauan JenningsMINWR5.20.23.34117.710.90.880.8961.1-0.05+0.102.2359-0.0247%
56Chris Godwin Jr.TBWR6.60.14.45309.112.90.841.0062.1+0.87+1.312.0048+0.2860%
57Jayden ReedGBWR5.20.73.44659.111.51.011.0060.5-0.62-0.442.6538+0.4945%
58Denzel BostonCLEWR4.90.13.24207.3–1.001.0061.0-1.18-1.791.550––
59Keon ColemanBUFWR5.40.33.24428.08.41.051.0061.1+1.32+1.302.0425+0.2458%
60Cyrus AllenKCWR4.70.13.04007.0–1.001.0063.2+0.13-0.041.550––
61Darnell MooneyNYGWR5.60.23.24317.27.80.910.8962.6+0.24-0.013.4256+0.0538%
62Malik WashingtonMIAWR5.10.73.43546.96.11.030.9060.1-1.09-0.472.5531-0.1540%
63Kayshon BoutteHOUWR5.10.23.24217.88.41.040.8961.9-1.37-1.192.4832+0.4961%
64Keenan AllenINDWR5.00.03.23806.712.70.720.8961.8+0.69+0.762.2655+0.2353%
65Rashid ShaheedSEAWR4.80.43.04037.29.50.911.0061.2+0.01+0.281.5451-0.0444%
66DeMario DouglasNEWR4.60.43.03526.27.21.031.0060.1-0.38-0.391.8546+0.5357%
67Cooper KuppSEAWR5.00.23.23817.010.70.751.0061.2+0.01+0.281.6949+0.1957%
68Rashod BatemanBALWR4.40.02.63606.76.71.010.9060.2+0.50-0.172.1350-0.0446%
69Dontayvion WicksPHIWR4.50.12.73406.26.31.030.8961.3+1.28+1.102.1845+0.3157%
70Calvin RidleyTENWR5.10.42.93826.610.20.810.9059.5-1.29-1.252.8041+0.3442%
71Jalen NailorLVWR4.10.12.53406.76.00.940.8960.9-1.08-0.323.1143+0.2152%
72Jordyn TysonNOWR5.60.13.64818.7–1.001.0062.8-0.21+0.111.550––
73Jalen CokerCARWR5.10.03.44307.68.51.041.0060.0+0.33+0.212.4022+0.4861%
74Xavier LegetteCARWR4.90.42.93426.36.71.031.0060.0+0.33+0.212.6530-0.1137%
75Darius SlaytonINDWR4.40.22.63826.17.60.880.8961.8+0.69+0.763.2360+0.2851%
76Jalen McMillanTBWR3.90.32.53326.49.71.041.0062.1+0.87+1.313.0817––

2025 usage and efficiency

what happened last season — none of this feeds the projection above

PlayerRoutesTgtYPRRTPRRTgt share1st readDesignedSep
Amon-Ra St. BrownDET5901722.390.29126%82%7%3.0
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA5131893.500.31830%81%7%3.0
Ja'Marr ChaseCIN6631852.130.27925%65%14%3.2
Malik NabersNYG145351.870.2415%86%6%–
CeeDee LambDAL4941172.180.23716%81%5%2.8
Drake LondonATL4181132.200.27018%81%1%2.7
Garrett WilsonNYJ240601.620.2509%77%5%3.1
George PickensDAL6571382.180.21019%83%1%2.3
Nico CollinsHOU5171282.160.23417%81%2%2.3
Emeka EgbukaTB5741281.640.22319%72%9%2.6
Zay FlowersBAL5081192.380.23422%58%13%3.6
Tetairoa McMillanCAR5811291.740.21020%80%2%2.7
Puka NacuaLA4872083.520.34125%71%11%2.9
Jaylen WaddleDEN4291002.120.23318%84%3%2.7
Rashee RiceKC286792.000.27611%48%27%3.6
DeVonta SmithPHI5481251.840.20819%75%7%2.8
Davante AdamsLA4291391.840.26617%75%4%2.2
Deebo Samuel Sr.SF4731001.540.21116%44%28%3.5
Tee HigginsCIN552991.580.17914%90%1%1.8
Jameson WilliamsDET6211021.790.16416%75%10%3.2
Ladd McConkeyLAC5911101.330.17915%59%4%3.3
Chris OlaveNO6171561.890.25322%76%6%3.0
Rome OdunzeCHI4391031.530.20713%70%3%3.0
DJ MooreBUF5931001.130.14312%53%20%3.3
Courtland SuttonDEN6551391.560.19118%68%2%2.3
Jakobi MeyersJAX5591141.490.19716%79%5%2.7
Justin JeffersonMIN5841421.790.24323%69%11%3.2
Tre TuckerLV613921.140.15015%68%12%3.6
Mike EvansSF252621.460.2469%85%0%1.9
Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI410741.490.1809%80%3%2.4
DK MetcalfPIT4921041.730.20116%75%10%2.6
Alec PierceIND501842.000.16813%89%0%2.1
Luther Burden IIICHI254742.580.2369%57%30%4.6
Brian Thomas Jr.JAX496931.430.18313%84%2%2.7
Parker WashingtonJAX4371091.940.22214%73%4%2.4
Michael WilsonARI6731271.500.18916%80%2%2.4
A.J. BrownNE5081281.970.23820%85%3%2.2
Jordan AddisonMIN467791.310.16913%76%4%2.9
Terry McLaurinWAS280602.080.21410%80%2%2.4
Michael PittmanPIT5701141.410.20018%77%8%3.0
Jerry JeudyCLE6241060.960.17016%81%2%2.5
Romeo DoubsNE439971.650.19615%72%3%2.3
Christian WatsonGB253622.420.2179%84%0%2.0
Stefon DiggsWAS4421222.290.23116%72%4%3.0
Josh DownsIND362881.510.24314%82%2%2.7
Quentin JohnstonLAC511901.440.16412%76%10%2.4
Troy FranklinDEN5121071.400.20915%51%19%3.0
Xavier WorthyKC449731.190.16310%68%11%3.5
Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN5871411.730.24021%63%15%3.4
Khalil ShakirBUF4101181.670.23716%46%26%3.8
Matthew GoldenGB284491.270.1558%70%11%–
Jauan JenningsMIN4831011.330.19314%83%0%2.2
Chris Godwin Jr.TB290521.250.1798%63%12%2.8
Jayden ReedGB118291.750.1864%45%18%–
Keon ColemanBUF333661.250.18610%74%5%2.8
Darnell MooneyNYG478720.930.15112%81%4%3.0
Malik WashingtonMIA369650.880.17612%43%28%3.6
Kayshon BoutteHOU397661.390.1167%80%0%2.3
Keenan AllenIND4931301.580.24717%70%3%2.6
Rashid ShaheedSEA5101021.350.18017%68%9%2.8
DeMario DouglasNE239581.870.1937%54%13%3.9
Cooper KuppSEA442941.350.16113%76%6%3.0
Rashod BatemanBAL332390.680.1177%69%0%–
Dontayvion WicksPHI247461.340.1868%87%4%2.2
Calvin RidleyTEN170361.780.2125%75%3%–
Jalen NailorLV444541.000.1229%69%4%2.4
Jalen CokerCAR302571.310.1497%71%11%–
Xavier LegetteCAR421680.860.15210%77%8%2.6
Darius SlaytonIND465651.170.14010%68%0%2.7

A route here is being on the field for a pass play, which counts a receiver who stayed in to block — so this runs slightly generous against PFF's charted version. First read and designed come from FTN charting and start in 2022. Separation is Next Gen Stats. Receiver WIN RATE is proprietary and is not available.