Advanced stats

Projected opportunity and the team context multiplying it. Opportunity and efficiency are shown separately because that is how the projection is built — a fast team with a poor line gives more chances at lower value per chance.

RB WR TE QB

#	Player	Pos	Tgt/G	Car/G	Rec/G	RecYd/G	RushYd/G	Pts/G	Prior obs	Age×	Carryover	Team plays	OL run	OL pass	Var×	Gms	2025 EPA/tgt	2025 succ%
1	Jahmyr GibbsDET	RB	5.8	17.3	4.6	35	85	20.4	20.8	1.02	1.00	62.4	+0.69	+0.61	1.44	49	+0.19	49%
2	Bijan RobinsonATL	RB	5.8	15.5	4.5	36	71	16.6	20.2	1.02	1.00	61.7	+0.05	+0.17	1.40	51	+0.26	54%
3	Christian McCaffreySF	RB	6.0	15.8	4.7	37	68	18.1	23.5	0.88	1.00	59.5	-0.01	-0.56	1.19	54	+0.33	55%
4	Jonathan TaylorIND	RB	3.0	20.4	2.3	17	94	17.5	19.5	0.93	1.00	61.8	+0.69	+0.76	1.11	52	+0.16	45%
5	Ashton JeantyLV	RB	4.4	19.7	3.3	23	74	14.9	14.4	1.07	0.90	60.9	-1.08	-0.32	1.53	17	-0.16	37%
6	Saquon BarkleyPHI	RB	3.5	14.7	2.7	20	69	13.7	17.1	0.90	1.00	61.3	+1.28	+1.10	1.30	62	-0.13	35%
7	De'Von AchaneMIA	RB	5.4	15.1	4.3	32	70	16.8	19.2	1.02	0.90	60.1	-1.09	-0.47	3.37	44	-0.12	41%
8	Chase BrownCIN	RB	4.6	15.4	3.7	24	63	13.7	15.1	0.95	1.00	60.8	-0.73	-1.39	1.28	45	-0.12	43%
9	Omarion HamptonLAC	RB	4.5	15.4	3.6	25	65	13.7	15.1	1.04	1.00	61.1	+0.45	+0.57	1.85	9	-0.02	46%
10	Derrick HenryBAL	RB	1.9	15.0	1.5	13	72	13.5	17.3	0.84	0.90	60.2	+0.50	-0.17	1.64	67	-0.14	52%
11	James CookBUF	RB	2.7	13.6	2.1	18	68	13.7	16.3	0.93	1.00	61.1	+1.32	+1.30	1.25	66	+0.17	39%
12	Kenneth Walker IIIKC	RB	3.0	17.7	2.5	18	75	13.7	12.7	1.00	1.00	63.2	+0.13	-0.04	1.91	58	+0.33	51%
13	Cam SkatteboNYG	RB	4.4	15.0	3.4	25	62	13.7	15.8	1.02	0.90	62.6	+0.24	-0.01	2.24	8	+0.10	50%
14	Kyren WilliamsLA	RB	2.6	16.2	2.0	14	73	14.0	16.1	0.95	1.00	61.9	+0.74	+0.72	1.32	53	+0.29	46%
15	D'Andre SwiftCHI	RB	3.3	13.4	2.5	20	62	12.5	13.7	0.93	1.00	62.5	+1.36	+1.05	1.35	63	+0.03	40%
16	Javonte WilliamsDAL	RB	3.4	16.5	2.6	15	69	12.8	12.9	0.95	1.00	64.1	+0.24	+0.09	1.39	53	-0.45	25%
17	Jaylen WarrenPIT	RB	3.6	13.5	2.9	21	59	11.6	11.6	0.93	0.90	61.4	-0.51	+0.02	1.91	64	+0.22	50%
18	Bucky IrvingTB	RB	3.3	15.2	2.7	22	66	12.9	14.2	1.02	1.00	62.1	+0.87	+1.31	1.77	27	+0.25	40%
19	Bhayshul TutenJAX	RB	2.5	13.4	1.9	14	52	11.8	6.1	1.04	1.00	61.3	-0.72	-0.20	1.29	15	–	–
20	David MontgomeryHOU	RB	3.0	12.4	2.4	19	50	11.5	11.9	0.90	1.00	61.9	-1.37	-1.19	1.99	61	+0.11	52%
21	Aaron JonesMIN	RB	3.4	15.0	2.6	19	66	12.1	12.0	0.86	1.00	61.1	-0.05	+0.10	1.58	57	-0.18	37%
22	Jadarian PriceSEA	RB	3.4	12.8	2.7	18	55	10.9	–	1.00	1.00	61.2	+0.01	+0.28	1.55	0	–	–
23	Jeremiyah LoveARI	RB	3.9	15.7	3.1	21	68	13.5	–	1.00	1.00	62.2	-0.14	-0.29	1.55	0	–	–
24	Rhamondre StevensonNE	RB	3.7	12.7	3.0	21	53	11.8	12.8	0.92	1.00	60.1	-0.38	-0.39	1.58	58	+0.35	49%
25	Tony PollardTEN	RB	3.5	12.7	2.7	17	51	10.3	12.0	0.90	0.90	59.5	-1.29	-1.25	1.70	66	-0.29	41%
26	Breece HallNYJ	RB	4.2	16.3	3.2	26	69	13.9	14.1	1.00	1.00	60.9	-0.17	-0.10	1.65	56	+0.18	56%
27	Rico DowdlePIT	RB	2.8	12.9	2.2	15	55	10.3	11.7	0.92	0.90	61.4	-0.51	+0.02	3.33	51	-0.03	38%
28	Chuba HubbardCAR	RB	2.5	11.2	2.0	13	48	9.3	10.6	0.93	1.00	60.0	+0.33	+0.21	1.36	61	+0.03	40%
29	TreVeyon HendersonNE	RB	2.7	9.5	2.2	14	41	9.0	12.0	1.04	1.00	60.1	-0.38	-0.39	1.74	17	-0.02	44%
30	Quinshon JudkinsCLE	RB	2.2	13.6	1.7	11	51	9.5	12.2	1.07	0.90	61.0	-1.18	-1.79	1.91	14	-0.20	28%
31	MarShawn LloydGB	RB	2.8	13.4	2.2	15	53	10.0	2.8	1.00	1.00	60.5	-0.62	-0.44	1.51	1	–	–
32	J.K. DobbinsDEN	RB	2.4	15.7	1.9	12	74	12.5	12.7	0.93	1.00	62.2	+1.17	+1.48	1.53	32	–	–
33	RJ HarveyDEN	RB	2.8	8.9	2.2	17	37	9.2	12.1	1.00	1.00	62.2	+1.17	+1.48	1.85	17	+0.24	50%
34	Kenny GainwellTB	RB	3.2	7.1	2.6	19	32	8.2	9.1	0.93	1.00	62.1	+0.87	+1.31	2.38	67	+0.00	40%
35	Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS	RB	1.6	10.9	1.2	8	45	8.3	8.4	1.00	1.00	60.9	-0.49	-0.84	1.55	17	–	–
36	Travis EtienneNO	RB	2.7	10.1	2.0	15	42	8.9	13.6	0.93	1.00	62.8	-0.21	+0.11	3.23	66	+0.24	46%
37	Ollie Gordon IIMIA	RB	2.8	9.3	2.1	14	33	8.4	3.2	1.07	0.90	60.1	-1.09	-0.47	2.11	17	–	–
38	Rachaad WhiteWAS	RB	2.8	8.5	2.4	16	33	7.9	10.5	0.93	1.00	60.9	-0.49	-0.84	2.29	66	-0.04	40%
39	Kyle MonangaiCHI	RB	2.0	8.9	1.4	11	40	7.4	8.6	1.02	1.00	62.5	+1.36	+1.05	1.49	17	-0.09	43%
40	Blake CorumLA	RB	1.2	9.2	0.8	6	42	6.8	5.6	1.00	1.00	61.9	+0.74	+0.72	1.45	32	–	–
41	Woody MarksHOU	RB	2.5	8.1	1.8	13	30	6.7	9.1	1.00	1.00	61.9	-1.37	-1.19	1.80	16	+0.17	40%
42	Tyler AllgeierARI	RB	0.9	8.6	0.8	6	35	6.1	7.3	0.95	1.00	62.2	-0.14	-0.29	2.68	67	–	–
43	Jerome FordMIN	RB	2.8	6.9	2.2	14	29	6.7	6.3	0.93	1.00	61.1	-0.05	+0.10	1.93	57	-0.17	25%
44	Mike WashingtonLV	RB	1.8	7.1	1.4	10	31	6.1	–	1.00	1.00	60.9	-1.08	-0.32	1.55	0	–	–
45	Tyjae SpearsTEN	RB	3.8	5.8	3.1	20	22	7.0	9.2	1.00	0.90	59.5	-1.29	-1.25	2.06	42	-0.03	36%
46	Justice HillBAL	RB	2.7	5.3	2.1	16	24	6.7	6.9	0.92	0.90	60.2	+0.50	-0.17	1.81	56	+0.02	41%
47	Jaylen WrightMIA	RB	2.2	15.1	1.5	11	58	9.4	4.0	1.04	0.90	60.1	-1.09	-0.47	2.49	22	–	–
48	Emanuel WilsonSEA	RB	1.5	7.6	1.2	8	32	6.1	5.5	0.93	1.00	61.2	+0.01	+0.28	1.92	39	–	–
49	Alvin KamaraNO	RB	2.7	6.6	2.1	15	26	6.3	14.2	0.86	1.00	62.8	-0.21	+0.11	2.04	53	-0.30	33%
50	Brian RobinsonATL	RB	1.5	7.2	1.1	9	29	5.8	6.8	0.93	1.00	61.7	+0.05	+0.17	1.88	58	–	–
51	Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAX	RB	0.8	9.4	0.6	5	39	7.1	6.5	0.93	1.00	61.3	-0.72	-0.20	1.73	28	–	–
52	Audric EstiméNO	RB	2.2	9.7	1.8	13	39	7.6	6.4	1.04	1.00	62.8	-0.21	+0.11	2.04	18	–	–
53	AJ DillonCAR	RB	1.5	8.3	1.1	8	33	6.0	4.8	0.92	1.00	60.0	+0.33	+0.21	1.83	38	–	–
54	Keaton MitchellLAC	RB	1.8	7.3	1.4	12	36	6.5	4.5	1.02	1.00	61.1	+0.45	+0.57	2.48	24	–	–
55	Zach CharbonnetSEA	RB	1.8	7.9	1.5	11	32	7.3	10.5	1.00	1.00	61.2	+0.01	+0.28	2.29	49	+0.03	46%
56	Raheim SandersCLE	RB	1.5	7.5	1.2	8	29	5.6	5.1	1.02	0.90	61.0	-1.18	-1.79	2.10	4	–	–
57	Bam KnightARI	RB	2.7	4.7	2.0	15	18	5.2	6.9	1.00	1.00	62.2	-0.14	-0.29	2.20	21	+0.05	45%
58	Michael CarterTEN	RB	3.4	6.0	2.6	17	23	6.1	7.3	0.93	0.90	59.5	-1.29	-1.25	2.69	47	+0.04	53%
59	Josh JacobsGB	RB	1.6	8.7	1.3	10	35	7.5	16.4	0.92	1.00	60.5	-0.62	-0.44	1.81	62	+0.22	47%

2025 usage and efficiency

what happened last season — none of this feeds the projection above

Player	Att	YPC	YBC/att	YAC/att	MTF	MTF/att	Rush%	RB snap%	RZ 20/10/5	15+
Jahmyr GibbsDET	243	5.03	3.46	1.57	15	0.062	56%	64%	52/22/10	14
Bijan RobinsonATL	288	5.14	2.83	2.32	22	0.077	62%	72%	36/18/11	16
Christian McCaffreySF	337	3.87	2.27	1.54	12	0.036	67%	83%	75/37/20	11
Jonathan TaylorIND	324	4.90	2.56	2.35	27	0.084	75%	82%	71/40/24	16
Ashton JeantyLV	267	3.65	1.57	2.09	24	0.090	73%	77%	35/17/11	5
Saquon BarkleyPHI	307	4.06	2.54	1.54	19	0.062	61%	73%	44/25/15	13
De'Von AchaneMIA	238	5.67	2.65	3.02	22	0.092	56%	66%	32/11/5	24
Chase BrownCIN	233	4.37	2.42	1.97	15	0.065	63%	–	37/19/13	9
Omarion HamptonLAC	125	4.39	2.83	1.52	12	0.096	27%	34%	26/15/8	8
Derrick HenryBAL	307	5.20	2.94	2.25	12	0.039	63%	54%	63/40/27	21
James CookBUF	348	5.25	3.02	2.11	23	0.066	59%	56%	56/26/16	16
Kenneth Walker IIIKC	286	4.65	2.76	1.93	35	0.122	45%	48%	34/10/8	18
Cam SkatteboNYG	102	4.04	2.16	1.90	7	0.069	20%	26%	24/13/10	4
Kyren WilliamsLA	303	4.83	2.78	1.95	23	0.076	59%	69%	53/30/18	12
D'Andre SwiftCHI	255	4.87	3.13	1.64	11	0.043	45%	55%	40/24/14	12
Javonte WilliamsDAL	252	4.77	2.38	2.39	25	0.099	56%	58%	54/28/20	13
Jaylen WarrenPIT	223	4.54	2.15	2.34	23	0.103	53%	46%	40/22/14	10
Bucky IrvingTB	173	3.40	1.76	1.64	10	0.058	37%	36%	18/6/0	4
Bhayshul TutenJAX	88	3.65	2.02	2.09	5	0.057	18%	18%	26/9/8	1
David MontgomeryHOU	159	4.52	2.42	2.11	3	0.019	37%	35%	35/25/17	6
Aaron JonesMIN	132	4.15	2.38	1.77	5	0.038	33%	39%	14/6/3	5
Rhamondre StevensonNE	189	4.62	1.84	2.52	20	0.106	28%	46%	27/17/12	9
Tony PollardTEN	242	4.47	2.65	1.83	16	0.066	65%	61%	19/12/4	10
Breece HallNYJ	243	4.38	2.54	1.84	12	0.049	54%	60%	24/10/4	17
Rico DowdlePIT	242	4.54	2.49	2.01	14	0.058	53%	54%	35/14/9	10
Chuba HubbardCAR	148	3.79	2.00	1.79	1	0.007	30%	39%	19/8/2	0
TreVeyon HendersonNE	210	5.06	2.81	1.89	11	0.052	39%	43%	36/21/8	10
Quinshon JudkinsCLE	231	3.59	1.40	2.20	11	0.048	55%	41%	33/19/12	7
J.K. DobbinsDEN	153	5.05	2.60	2.44	9	0.059	35%	31%	20/11/7	12
RJ HarveyDEN	166	3.67	1.81	1.81	11	0.067	33%	44%	29/15/10	4
Kenny GainwellTB	120	4.71	2.60	2.04	14	0.117	29%	49%	23/16/9	6
Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS	176	4.57	2.53	2.07	13	0.074	37%	38%	32/21/13	7
Travis EtienneNO	270	4.26	2.24	2.10	10	0.037	55%	58%	54/26/12	9
Ollie Gordon IIMIA	70	2.84	1.16	1.69	6	0.086	17%	21%	19/12/6	2
Rachaad WhiteWAS	133	4.30	2.83	1.51	9	0.068	29%	48%	19/10/9	4
Kyle MonangaiCHI	192	4.60	2.81	1.65	4	0.021	34%	43%	38/21/12	7
Blake CorumLA	171	5.14	3.38	1.68	13	0.076	33%	30%	27/16/13	10
Woody MarksHOU	229	3.59	1.85	1.79	8	0.035	42%	48%	33/15/9	7
Tyler AllgeierARI	143	3.59	1.99	1.61	9	0.063	31%	27%	32/19/10	5
Tyjae SpearsTEN	72	3.93	2.58	1.35	4	0.056	19%	35%	10/5/2	3
Jaylen WrightMIA	70	4.11	1.60	2.51	6	0.086	17%	12%	12/6/4	2
Emanuel WilsonSEA	126	3.97	1.79	2.17	7	0.056	26%	30%	24/8/4	1
Alvin KamaraNO	131	3.60	2.15	1.44	7	0.053	31%	42%	15/6/2	4
Brian RobinsonATL	95	4.35	2.53	1.73	10	0.105	20%	17%	13/4/2	4
Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAX	112	4.46	1.49	2.97	13	0.116	24%	24%	33/22/14	4
Audric EstiméNO	46	4.30	2.17	2.13	7	0.152	11%	17%	6/5/3	1
Keaton MitchellLAC	59	5.78	3.61	2.17	2	0.034	12%	13%	14/2/0	6
Zach CharbonnetSEA	190	3.96	2.13	1.84	14	0.074	38%	47%	52/32/19	9
Bam KnightARI	83	3.24	1.65	1.63	5	0.061	23%	25%	17/14/8	2
Michael CarterTEN	92	3.62	2.27	1.35	3	0.033	25%	35%	8/4/3	2
Josh JacobsGB	253	3.97	2.12	1.77	13	0.051	49%	51%	52/30/20	10

YBC and YAC are yards before and after contact; MTF is missed tackles forced (PFR broken tackles). Red zone is carries inside the 20, 10 and 5 — the 5 is the one that scores. Blocking SCHEME (zone vs gap) is not available in any public source, so there is no zone split here.