Advanced stats
Projected opportunity and the team context multiplying it. Opportunity and efficiency are shown separately because that is how the projection is built — a fast team with a poor line gives more chances at lower value per chance.
| # | Player | Pos | Att/G | PassYd/G | PassTD/G | Pts/G | Prior obs | Age× | Carryover | Team plays | OL run | OL pass | Var× | Gms | 2025 EPA/rush | 2025 succ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh AllenBUF | QB | 29.5 | 229 | 1.5 | 20.4 | 23.6 | 0.98 | 1.00 | 61.1 | +1.32 | +1.30 | 1.47 | 65 | +0.53 | 68% |
| 2 | Jalen HurtsPHI | QB | 28.0 | 212 | 1.3 | 19.6 | 21.0 | 1.01 | 1.00 | 61.3 | +1.28 | +1.10 | 1.45 | 63 | +0.26 | 56% |
| 3 | Drake MayeNE | QB | 32.9 | 286 | 2.0 | 19.1 | 18.3 | 1.04 | 1.00 | 60.1 | -0.38 | -0.39 | 1.34 | 30 | +0.36 | 62% |
| 4 | Caleb WilliamsCHI | QB | 33.9 | 299 | 1.8 | 21.3 | 17.1 | 1.04 | 1.00 | 62.5 | +1.36 | +1.05 | 1.74 | 34 | +0.22 | 57% |
| 5 | Lamar JacksonBAL | QB | 30.4 | 248 | 1.9 | 19.3 | 21.0 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 60.2 | +0.50 | -0.17 | 1.85 | 58 | +0.41 | 55% |
| 6 | Bo NixDEN | QB | 34.7 | 251 | 1.6 | 18.2 | 18.3 | 1.04 | 1.00 | 62.2 | +1.17 | +1.48 | 1.34 | 34 | +0.26 | 55% |
| 7 | Dak PrescottDAL | QB | 36.1 | 275 | 1.9 | 18.9 | 18.0 | 0.96 | 1.00 | 64.1 | +0.24 | +0.09 | 1.34 | 54 | +0.06 | 59% |
| 8 | Justin HerbertLAC | QB | 33.5 | 249 | 1.5 | 17.5 | 17.6 | 1.01 | 1.00 | 61.1 | +0.45 | +0.57 | 1.45 | 63 | +0.36 | 65% |
| 9 | Jared GoffDET | QB | 32.7 | 251 | 1.7 | 16.4 | 17.7 | 0.97 | 1.00 | 62.4 | +0.69 | +0.61 | 1.45 | 68 | – | – |
| 10 | Trevor LawrenceJAX | QB | 33.6 | 237 | 1.5 | 17.7 | 17.7 | 1.04 | 1.00 | 61.3 | -0.72 | -0.20 | 1.34 | 60 | +0.32 | 62% |
| 11 | Joe BurrowCIN | QB | 35.4 | 267 | 2.1 | 19.6 | 19.4 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 60.8 | -0.73 | -1.39 | 1.34 | 51 | – | – |
| 12 | Patrick MahomesKC | QB | 35.4 | 253 | 1.7 | 15.7 | 19.8 | 0.97 | 1.00 | 63.2 | +0.13 | -0.04 | 1.34 | 63 | +0.57 | 70% |
| 13 | C.J. StroudHOU | QB | 32.8 | 227 | 1.4 | 15.4 | 15.1 | 1.04 | 1.00 | 61.9 | -1.37 | -1.19 | 1.34 | 46 | +0.50 | 61% |
| 14 | Brock PurdySF | QB | 29.6 | 226 | 1.6 | 16.5 | 17.9 | 1.04 | 1.00 | 59.5 | -0.01 | -0.56 | 1.34 | 49 | +0.46 | 65% |
| 15 | Cam WardTEN | QB | 33.1 | 218 | 1.3 | 14.6 | 11.0 | 1.04 | 0.90 | 59.5 | -1.29 | -1.25 | 1.85 | 17 | +0.37 | 64% |
| 16 | Matthew StaffordLA | QB | 34.6 | 277 | 1.8 | 15.3 | 16.7 | 0.92 | 1.00 | 61.9 | +0.74 | +0.72 | 1.34 | 57 | – | – |
| 17 | Tyler ShoughNO | QB | 33.2 | 236 | 1.4 | 16.3 | 14.1 | 1.02 | 1.00 | 62.8 | -0.21 | +0.11 | 1.34 | 11 | +0.21 | 54% |
| 18 | Bryce YoungCAR | QB | 31.8 | 210 | 1.3 | 14.6 | 12.8 | 1.04 | 1.00 | 60.0 | +0.33 | +0.21 | 1.34 | 46 | +0.33 | 59% |
| 19 | Geno SmithNYJ | QB | 31.2 | 223 | 1.3 | 14.3 | 14.6 | 0.94 | 0.89 | 60.9 | -0.17 | -0.10 | 1.64 | 64 | +0.01 | 46% |
| 20 | Jordan LoveGB | QB | 30.0 | 220 | 1.5 | 15.3 | 15.8 | 1.02 | 1.00 | 60.5 | -0.62 | -0.44 | 1.34 | 51 | +0.59 | 63% |
| 21 | Kyler MurrayMIN | QB | 32.4 | 227 | 1.3 | 17.1 | 17.4 | 1.00 | 0.89 | 61.1 | -0.05 | +0.10 | 1.64 | 41 | +0.15 | 46% |
| 22 | Sam DarnoldSEA | QB | 26.7 | 202 | 1.4 | 13.6 | 13.4 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 61.2 | +0.01 | +0.28 | 1.34 | 50 | -0.07 | 67% |
| 23 | Daniel JonesIND | QB | 32.4 | 237 | 1.3 | 15.0 | 15.8 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 61.8 | +0.69 | +0.76 | 1.34 | 45 | +0.49 | 68% |
| 24 | Will LevisNYJ | QB | 30.7 | 217 | 1.3 | 14.2 | 10.6 | 1.02 | 0.89 | 60.9 | -0.17 | -0.10 | 1.64 | 21 | – | – |
| 25 | Aaron RodgersPIT | QB | 29.4 | 203 | 1.4 | 13.3 | 14.2 | 0.89 | 0.90 | 61.4 | -0.51 | +0.02 | 1.85 | 51 | – | – |
| 26 | Kirk CousinsLV | QB | 31.2 | 221 | 1.4 | 13.7 | 14.0 | 0.92 | 0.89 | 60.9 | -1.08 | -0.32 | 2.25 | 49 | – | – |
| 27 | Jayden DanielsWAS | QB | 30.3 | 210 | 1.4 | 18.1 | 19.5 | 1.04 | 1.00 | 60.9 | -0.49 | -0.84 | 1.74 | 24 | +0.08 | 52% |
| 28 | Michael Penix Jr.ATL | QB | 32.9 | 235 | 1.4 | 15.3 | 11.8 | 1.04 | 1.00 | 61.7 | +0.05 | +0.17 | 1.45 | 14 | – | – |
| 29 | Jacoby BrissettARI | QB | 29.4 | 205 | 1.2 | 13.8 | 13.0 | 0.96 | 1.00 | 62.2 | -0.14 | -0.29 | 1.45 | 37 | +0.21 | 61% |
| 30 | Baker MayfieldTB | QB | 31.3 | 232 | 1.6 | 16.3 | 17.1 | 0.97 | 1.00 | 62.1 | +0.87 | +1.31 | 1.88 | 63 | +0.88 | 66% |
| 31 | Deshaun WatsonCLE | QB | 26.1 | 170 | 1.1 | 12.4 | 13.1 | 0.97 | 0.90 | 61.0 | -1.18 | -1.79 | 1.85 | 19 | – | – |
| 32 | Malik WillisMIA | QB | 25.2 | 186 | 1.1 | 14.7 | 6.8 | 1.02 | 0.89 | 60.1 | -1.09 | -0.47 | 2.25 | 19 | – | – |
| 33 | Justin FieldsKC | QB | 19.8 | 138 | 0.9 | 9.8 | 16.2 | 1.02 | 0.89 | 63.2 | +0.13 | -0.04 | 1.80 | 47 | +0.17 | 62% |
| 34 | Jameis WinstonNYG | QB | 27.2 | 195 | 1.2 | 12.3 | 10.4 | 0.97 | 0.90 | 62.6 | +0.24 | -0.01 | 1.85 | 23 | – | – |
| 35 | Anthony RichardsonIND | QB | 22.0 | 161 | 0.9 | 10.3 | 13.3 | 1.04 | 1.00 | 61.8 | +0.69 | +0.76 | 1.47 | 17 | – | – |
| 36 | Marcus MariotaWAS | QB | 20.3 | 142 | 0.9 | 9.5 | 13.5 | 0.97 | 1.00 | 60.9 | -0.49 | -0.84 | 1.47 | 28 | +0.15 | 52% |
| 37 | J.J. McCarthyNYG | QB | 22.8 | 162 | 1.0 | 10.1 | 13.1 | 1.04 | 0.89 | 62.6 | +0.24 | -0.01 | 3.22 | 10 | +0.43 | 61% |
| 38 | Drew LockSEA | QB | 18.1 | 127 | 0.8 | 7.7 | 7.2 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 61.2 | +0.01 | +0.28 | 1.47 | 14 | – | – |
| 39 | Carson WentzMIN | QB | 23.3 | 166 | 1.0 | 8.7 | 13.3 | 0.96 | 1.00 | 61.1 | -0.05 | +0.10 | 1.47 | 16 | – | – |
| 40 | Zach WilsonNO | QB | 21.6 | 150 | 0.8 | 8.9 | 8.0 | 1.02 | 0.89 | 62.8 | -0.21 | +0.11 | 2.34 | 25 | – | – |
| 41 | Nick MullensJAX | QB | 17.9 | 129 | 0.8 | 7.9 | 4.0 | 0.97 | 1.00 | 61.3 | -0.72 | -0.20 | 1.34 | 17 | – | – |
| 42 | Teddy BridgewaterDET | QB | 17.7 | 128 | 0.8 | 7.6 | 3.3 | 0.96 | 0.89 | 62.4 | +0.69 | +0.61 | 2.33 | 9 | – | – |
| 43 | Jalen MilroeSEA | QB | 14.5 | 104 | 0.7 | 5.7 | -0.5 | 1.04 | 1.00 | 61.2 | +0.01 | +0.28 | 1.92 | 3 | – | – |
| 44 | Aidan O'ConnellLV | QB | 14.3 | 99 | 0.6 | 5.0 | 10.6 | 1.01 | 0.90 | 60.9 | -1.08 | -0.32 | 2.64 | 21 | – | – |
2025 usage and efficiency
what happened last season — none of this feeds the projection above
| Player | Routes | Tgt | YPRR | TPRR | Tgt share | 1st read | Designed | Sep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake MayeNE | 638 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.002 | 0% | 0% | 0% | – |
| Caleb WilliamsCHI | 677 | 2 | 0.03 | 0.003 | 0% | 0% | 100% | – |
| Bo NixDEN | 710 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.001 | 0% | 100% | 0% | – |
| Patrick MahomesKC | 629 | 1 | -0.02 | 0.002 | 0% | 0% | 0% | – |
| Aaron RodgersPIT | 569 | 1 | -0.02 | 0.002 | 0% | 100% | 0% | – |
| Justin FieldsKC | 274 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.004 | 0% | 0% | 100% | – |
A route here is being on the field for a pass play, which counts a receiver who stayed in to block — so this runs slightly generous against PFF's charted version. First read and designed come from FTN charting and start in 2022. Separation is Next Gen Stats. Receiver WIN RATE is proprietary and is not available.