Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Tyrone Tracy Jr.

NYG

RB45 · overall #171 · tier 8 · age 26

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Projected points

88

6.1/gm

Value over replacement

-11

repl 110

Range

22–155

sd 67

Week

6.0

vs DAL

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
2.6
Carries / game
6.3
Receptions / game
2.0
Rec yards / game
14
Rush yards / game
27
Rush TD / game
0.16
Rec TD / game
0.05
Total TD / game
0.21
Games projected
14.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
10.9
Games of history
32
Age multiplier
0.953
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.8
Projected plays / game
62.5
Projected pass rate
56%
OL run block
+0.42
OL pass protection
-0.21
OL continuity
75%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
68%
1st-down pass rate
48%
Run friendly
-0.80
Scheme creativity
+0.10
Play action / motion
22% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
94
Effective contributors
2.83
Top player's share
44%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.24

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
DAL,LA,TEN
Window matchup
+0.24
Opponents after
ARI,WAS,NO
After matchup
+1.12
Flip edge
-0.89
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.39

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

15

Points

142.8

Per game

9.52

17-gm pace

162

Best / worst

23.9 / 0.6

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
14.51024052110
27.1515054360
34.672903270
60.64600000
710.694610000
86.31039032140
95.2518043190
107.6147102100
1115.91988044510
1214.52062043680
133.81036011-30
1523.21570143271
168.8167102270
176.21462021-50
1823.918103098561