Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Tyrone Tracy Jr.

NYG

RB99 · overall #333 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

61

4.2/gm

Value over replacement

-44

repl 116

Range

0–128

sd 67

Week

1.6

vs ARI

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
28
Carries
61
Receptions
21
Rec yards
154
Rush yards
260
Rush TD
1.5
Rec TD
0.5
Total TD
2.0
Games projected
14.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
10.9
Games of history
32
Age multiplier
0.953
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.3
Projected plays / game
62.6
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.24
OL pass protection
-0.01
OL continuity
75%
2TE rate
32%
3WR rate
67%
1st-down pass rate
47%
Run friendly
-0.84
Scheme creativity
+0.09
Play action / motion
22% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
94
Effective contributors
2.83
Top player's share
44%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.24

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
ARI,WAS,NO
Window matchup
+0.73
Opponents after
HOU,PHI
After matchup
-0.60
Flip edge
+1.34
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.65

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

15

Points

142.8

Per game

9.52

17-gm pace

162

Best / worst

23.9 / 0.6

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
14.5RB381024052110
27.1RB35515054360
34.6RB4572903270
60.6RB654600000
710.6RB1994610000
86.3RB311039032140
95.2RB36518043190
107.6RB34147102100
1115.9RB141988044510
1214.5RB122062043680
133.8RB541036011-30
1523.2RB51570143271
168.8RB31167102270
176.2RB331462021-50
1823.9RB318103098561