Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Tyrone Tracy Jr.

NYG

RB99 · overall #333 · tier – · age 26

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Projected points

61

4.2/gm

Value over replacement

-44

repl 116

Range

0–128

sd 67

Week

1.6

vs ARI

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.9
Carries / game
4.2
Receptions / game
1.4
Rec yards / game
11
Rush yards / game
18
Rush TD / game
0.10
Rec TD / game
0.03
Total TD / game
0.14
Games projected
14.5
Observed pts/gm (history)
10.9
Games of history
32
Age multiplier
0.953
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.3
Projected plays / game
62.6
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.24
OL pass protection
-0.01
OL continuity
75%
2TE rate
32%
3WR rate
67%
1st-down pass rate
47%
Run friendly
-0.84
Scheme creativity
+0.09
Play action / motion
22% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
94
Effective contributors
2.83
Top player's share
44%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.24

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
ARI,WAS,NO
Window matchup
+0.73
Opponents after
HOU,PHI
After matchup
-0.60
Flip edge
+1.34
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.65

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

15

Points

124.8

Per game

8.32

17-gm pace

141

Best / worst

21.7 / 0.6

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
13.5RB401024052110
25.1RB36515054360
33.6RB4672903270
60.6RB624600000
710.6RB1694610000
85.3RB341039032140
93.7RB38518043190
107.1RB33147102100
1113.9RB141988044510
1213.0RB112062043680
133.3RB491036011-30
1521.7RB41570143271
167.8RB31167102270
175.7RB311462021-50
1819.9RB318103098561