Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Samaje Perine

CIN

RB70 · overall #229 · tier – · age 31

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Projected points

82

5.6/gm

Value over replacement

-25

repl 116

Range

53–112

sd 29

Week

4.6

vs JAX

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.9
Carries / game
6.0
Receptions / game
1.5
Rec yards / game
11
Rush yards / game
25
Rush TD / game
0.13
Rec TD / game
0.04
Total TD / game
0.17
Games projected
14.8
Observed pts/gm (history)
5.5
Games of history
65
Age multiplier
0.857
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.7
Projected plays / game
60.8
Projected pass rate
60%
OL run block
-0.73
OL pass protection
-1.39
OL continuity
98%
2TE rate
40%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
54%
Run friendly
-1.75
Scheme creativity
-0.67
Play action / motion
17% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
9
Effective contributors
1.82
Top player's share
69%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.28

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
JAX,MIA
Window matchup
+0.43
Opponents after
BAL,TEN,ATL
After matchup
-0.49
Flip edge
+0.92
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.50

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

15

Points

69.4

Per game

4.63

17-gm pace

79

Best / worst

16.5 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
11.6RB580002260
20.0RB750000000
30.1RB7542100000
40.4RB711401000
53.9RB4142702220
64.2RB40616032160
73.1RB4773100000
816.5RB1299411160
90.5RB621500000
134.4RB491439022150
144.3RB4463101170
154.8RB44144201110
1611.1RB23725132160
177.8RB273511180
186.7RB28842043100