Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

RB

Samaje Perine

CIN

RB70 · overall #229 · tier – · age 31

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Projected points

82

5.6/gm

Value over replacement

-25

repl 116

Range

53–112

sd 29

Week

4.6

vs JAX

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.9
Carries / game
6.0
Receptions / game
1.5
Rec yards / game
11
Rush yards / game
25
Rush TD / game
0.13
Rec TD / game
0.04
Total TD / game
0.17
Games projected
14.8
Observed pts/gm (history)
5.5
Games of history
65
Age multiplier
0.857
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.7
Projected plays / game
60.8
Projected pass rate
60%
OL run block
-0.73
OL pass protection
-1.39
OL continuity
98%
2TE rate
40%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
54%
Run friendly
-1.75
Scheme creativity
-0.67
Play action / motion
17% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
9
Effective contributors
1.82
Top player's share
69%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.28

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
JAX,MIA
Window matchup
+0.43
Opponents after
BAL,TEN,ATL
After matchup
-0.49
Flip edge
+0.92
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.50

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

15

Points

60.9

Per game

4.06

17-gm pace

69

Best / worst

16.0 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
10.6RB670002260
20.0RB740000000
30.1RB7542100000
40.4RB671401000
52.9RB4142702220
63.2RB44616032160
73.1RB4573100000
816.0RB1199411160
90.5RB601500000
133.4RB481439022150
143.8RB4463101170
154.3RB42144201110
1610.1RB24725132160
177.3RB253511180
185.2RB33842043100