Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Samaje Perine

CIN

RB51 · overall #193 · tier 8 · age 30

← back to rankings

Projected points

81

5.5/gm

Value over replacement

-21

repl 110

Range

52–110

sd 29

Week

5.5

vs TB

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
27
Carries
87
Receptions
22
Rec yards
166
Rush yards
363
Rush TD
2.0
Rec TD
0.5
Total TD
2.6
Games projected
14.8
Observed pts/gm (history)
5.5
Games of history
65
Age multiplier
0.876
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.7
Projected plays / game
60.9
Projected pass rate
60%
OL run block
-0.72
OL pass protection
-1.37
OL continuity
99%
2TE rate
40%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
54%
Run friendly
-1.75
Scheme creativity
-0.69
Play action / motion
17% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
9
Effective contributors
1.82
Top player's share
69%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.28

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
TB,HOU,PIT
Window matchup
-0.09
Opponents after
JAX,MIA
After matchup
+0.25
Flip edge
-0.35
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
6
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.43

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

15

Points

69.4

Per game

4.63

17-gm pace

79

Best / worst

16.5 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
11.60002260
20.00000000
30.142100000
40.41401000
53.942702220
64.2616032160
73.173100000
816.599411160
90.51500000
134.41439022150
144.363101170
154.8144201110
1611.1725132160
177.83511180
186.7842043100