Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Rhamondre Stevenson

NE

RB26 · overall #41 · tier 6 · age 28

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Projected points

163

11.9/gm

Value over replacement

69

repl 110

Range

116–209

sd 47

Week

8.8

@ SEA

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
51
Carries
176
Receptions
40
Rec yards
281
Rush yards
730
Rush TD
6.1
Rec TD
1.0
Total TD
7.1
Games projected
13.7
Observed pts/gm (history)
12.8
Games of history
58
Age multiplier
0.915
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.3
Projected plays / game
59.9
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.47
OL pass protection
-0.48
OL continuity
73%
2TE rate
31%
3WR rate
57%
1st-down pass rate
43%
Run friendly
+0.10
Scheme creativity
-0.59
Play action / motion
21% / 48%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
52
Effective contributors
2.72
Top player's share
49%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.58

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
SEA,PIT,JAX
Window matchup
-0.93
Opponents after
BUF,LV,NYJ
After matchup
+0.50
Flip edge
-1.43
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.46

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

14

Points

162.8

Per game

11.63

17-gm pace

198

Best / worst

34.3 / 1.5

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
13.7715032120
218.71154055880
33.1418033380
44.693801130
513.7714222130
61.8131801000
715.8188812200
85.41434021150
121.56502150
139.51240033400
159.2650033270
1616.8851132270
1724.7847155551
1834.37131222221