Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

WR

Jayden Higgins

HOU

WR60 · overall #162 · tier 10 · age 23

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Projected points

100

6.7/gm

Value over replacement

-8

repl 115

Range

63–137

sd 37

Week

6.0

vs BUF

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
4.6
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
2.8
Rec yards / game
34
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.31
Total TD / game
0.31
Games projected
15.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
7.6
Games of history
17
Age multiplier
1.052
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.9
Projected plays / game
61.9
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-1.37
OL pass protection
-1.17
OL continuity
70%
2TE rate
20%
3WR rate
76%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.37
Scheme creativity
-0.30
Play action / motion
23% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.55
Top player's share
35%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy low
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
BUF,CIN,IND
Window matchup
+0.36
Opponents after
DAL,TEN,JAX
After matchup
+0.44
Flip edge
-0.08
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.75

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

17

Points

109.0

Per game

6.41

17-gm pace

109

Best / worst

15.8 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
14.23232000
23.31128000
31.0115000
48.91124100
55.24432000
70.0300000
811.48434100
90.9114000
1012.77542100
117.57455000
1211.89438100
139.05565000
144.95334000
150.9114000
162.23117000
1715.84288100
189.35223100