Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Jayden Higgins

HOU

WR63 · overall #149 · tier – · age 23

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Projected points

14

6.3/gm

Value over replacement

-2

repl 119

Range

0–39

sd 25

Week

0.0

vs DAL

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
4.3
Carries / game
0.2
Receptions / game
2.6
Rec yards / game
32
Rush yards / game
1
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.31
Total TD / game
0.31
Games projected
2.2
Observed pts/gm (history)
7.6
Games of history
17
Age multiplier
1.052
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.9
Projected plays / game
61.9
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-1.37
OL pass protection
-1.19
OL continuity
64%
2TE rate
20%
3WR rate
76%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.36
Scheme creativity
-0.30
Play action / motion
23% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.55
Top player's share
35%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
DAL,TEN,JAX
Window matchup
+0.44
Opponents after
NYG,LAC
After matchup
-0.52
Flip edge
+0.96
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.86

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

17

Points

88.5

Per game

5.21

17-gm pace

88

Best / worst

14.8 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
13.2WR623232000
22.8WR801128000
30.5WR110115000
48.4WR261124100
53.2WR624432000
70.0WR101300000
89.4WR218434100
90.4WR94114000
1010.2WR257542100
115.5WR357455000
129.8WR199438100
136.5WR375565000
143.4WR465334000
150.4WR101114000
161.7WR893117000
1714.8WR84288100
188.3WR215223100