Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Jayden Higgins

HOU

WR63 · overall #149 · tier – · age 23

← back to rankings

Projected points

14

6.3/gm

Value over replacement

-2

repl 119

Range

0–39

sd 25

Week

0.0

vs DAL

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
4.3
Carries / game
0.2
Receptions / game
2.6
Rec yards / game
32
Rush yards / game
1
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.31
Total TD / game
0.31
Games projected
2.2
Observed pts/gm (history)
7.6
Games of history
17
Age multiplier
1.052
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.9
Projected plays / game
61.9
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-1.37
OL pass protection
-1.19
OL continuity
64%
2TE rate
20%
3WR rate
76%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.36
Scheme creativity
-0.30
Play action / motion
23% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.55
Top player's share
35%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk7
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
DAL,TEN,JAX
Window matchup
+0.44
Opponents after
NYG,LAC
After matchup
-0.52
Flip edge
+0.96
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.86

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

17

Points

109.0

Per game

6.41

17-gm pace

109

Best / worst

15.8 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
14.2WR633232000
23.3WR861128000
31.0WR112115000
48.9WR311124100
55.2WR604432000
70.0WR103300000
811.4WR208434100
90.9WR94114000
1012.7WR247542100
117.5WR337455000
1211.8WR229438100
139.0WR345565000
144.9WR485334000
150.9WR100114000
162.2WR923117000
1715.8WR94288100
189.3WR225223100