Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Jakobi Meyers

JAX

WR27 · overall #71 · tier 6 · age 29

← back to rankings

Projected points

139

9.7/gm

Value over replacement

32

repl 119

Range

97–182

sd 42

Week

9.7

@ CIN

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
7.0
Carries / game
0.2
Receptions / game
4.6
Rec yards / game
54
Rush yards / game
1
Rush TD / game
0.02
Rec TD / game
0.31
Total TD / game
0.32
Games projected
14.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
12.4
Games of history
61
Age multiplier
0.876
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
61.3
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.72
OL pass protection
-0.20
OL continuity
98%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
73%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.06
Scheme creativity
-0.03
Play action / motion
23% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.41
Top player's share
30%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CIN,PHI,HOU
Window matchup
-0.60
Opponents after
IND,BAL
After matchup
+0.19
Flip edge
-0.79
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.32

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

16

Points

175.8

Per game

10.99

17-gm pace

187

Best / worst

21.3 / 6.3

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
117.7WR1510897000
212.8WR3312668000
39.3WR394363000
47.0WR547430000
57.2WR566432000
67.9WR434439000
96.3WR556423000
107.1WR463341000
1111.4WR226564000
1215.0WR206450100
1321.3WR116690113
1414.8WR1910439139
1512.1WR287571000
168.6WR468445011
177.9WR469639000
189.4WR296544000