Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Jakobi Meyers

JAX

WR27 · overall #71 · tier 6 · age 29

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Projected points

139

9.7/gm

Value over replacement

32

repl 119

Range

97–182

sd 42

Week

9.7

@ CIN

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
7.0
Carries / game
0.2
Receptions / game
4.6
Rec yards / game
54
Rush yards / game
1
Rush TD / game
0.02
Rec TD / game
0.31
Total TD / game
0.32
Games projected
14.4
Observed pts/gm (history)
12.4
Games of history
61
Age multiplier
0.876
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.2
Projected plays / game
61.3
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-0.72
OL pass protection
-0.20
OL continuity
98%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
73%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.06
Scheme creativity
-0.03
Play action / motion
23% / 51%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
committee
Ambiguity score
75
Effective contributors
4.41
Top player's share
30%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.85

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
CIN,PHI,HOU
Window matchup
-0.60
Opponents after
IND,BAL
After matchup
+0.19
Flip edge
-0.79
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
7
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.32

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

16

Points

100.8

Per game

6.30

17-gm pace

107

Best / worst

15.3 / 1.9

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
19.7WR2210897000
26.8WR4712668000
36.3WR374363000
43.0WR607430000
53.2WR626432000
63.9WR474439000
92.3WR646423000
104.1WR453341000
116.4WR266564000
1211.0WR156450100
1315.3WR106690113
1410.8WR1510439139
157.1WR347571000
164.6WR478445011
171.9WR769639000
184.4WR376544000