Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Hunter Luepke

DAL

RB64 · overall #324 · tier 9

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Projected points

55

3.7/gm

Value over replacement

-47

repl 110

Range

43–68

sd 12

Week

3.9

@ NYG

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
1.5
Carries / game
3.6
Receptions / game
1.2
Rec yards / game
9
Rush yards / game
15
Rush TD / game
0.07
Rec TD / game
0.03
Total TD / game
0.11
Games projected
15.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
2.3
Games of history
38
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.0
Projected plays / game
64.0
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.16
OL pass protection
+0.01
OL continuity
92%
2TE rate
20%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.93
Scheme creativity
-0.34
Play action / motion
22% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
36
Effective contributors
2.15
Top player's share
66%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.39

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk4
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
NYG,WAS,BAL
Window matchup
+1.03
Opponents after
HOU,TB,GB
After matchup
-0.06
Flip edge
+1.09
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
14
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.35

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

14

Points

30.5

Per game

2.18

17-gm pace

37

Best / worst

7.7 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
20.00000000
40.61601000
51.500011100
67.70002271
70.80001130
80.21200000
90.00000000
115.615033360
121.20001170
140.00000000
154.0316022140
161.910021140
174.9730011140
182.121201140