Hunter Luepke

DAL

RB126 · overall #424 · tier –

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Projected points

3.4/gm

Value over replacement

-57

repl 116

Range

39–64

sd 12

Week

0.9

@ HOU

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 1.5
Carries / game: 3.2
Receptions / game: 1.2
Rec yards / game: 9
Rush yards / game: 13
Rush TD / game: 0.07
Rec TD / game: 0.03
Total TD / game: 0.11
Games projected: 15.0
Observed pts/gm (history): 2.3
Games of history: 38
Age multiplier: 1.000
Usage carryover: 1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 31.0
Projected plays / game: 64.1
Projected pass rate: 58%
OL run block: +0.24
OL pass protection: +0.09
OL continuity: 86%
2TE rate: 20%
3WR rate: 72%
1st-down pass rate: 49%
Run friendly: -0.93
Scheme creativity: -0.33
Play action / motion: 22% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: clear lead
Ambiguity score: 36
Effective contributors: 2.15
Top player's share: 66%
New play-caller: no
Variance multiplier: 1.39

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: hold
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: HOU,TB,GB
Window matchup: -0.09
Opponents after: PHI,ARI,IND
After matchup: +0.38
Flip edge: -0.47
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 14
Playoff schedule (15-17): +0.44

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

24.0

Per game

1.71

17-gm pace

Best / worst

6.7 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Att	Ru Yds	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds	Re TD
2	0.0	RB74	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	0.6	RB65	1	6	1	0	0	0
5	1.0	RB62	0	0	1	1	10	0
6	6.7	RB21	0	0	2	2	7	1
7	0.3	RB69	0	0	1	1	3	0
8	0.2	RB65	1	2	0	0	0	0
9	0.0	RB66	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	4.1	RB40	1	5	3	3	36	0
12	0.7	RB56	0	0	1	1	7	0
14	0.0	RB71	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	3.0	RB51	3	16	2	2	14	0
16	1.4	RB60	1	0	2	1	14	0
17	4.4	RB36	7	30	1	1	14	0
18	1.6	RB63	2	12	1	1	4	0