Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Hunter Luepke

DAL

RB64 · overall #324 · tier 9

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Projected points

55

3.7/gm

Value over replacement

-47

repl 110

Range

43–68

sd 12

Week

3.9

@ NYG

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
23
Carries
55
Receptions
18
Rec yards
139
Rush yards
220
Rush TD
1.1
Rec TD
0.5
Total TD
1.6
Games projected
15.0
Observed pts/gm (history)
2.3
Games of history
38
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
31.0
Projected plays / game
64.0
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
+0.16
OL pass protection
+0.01
OL continuity
92%
2TE rate
20%
3WR rate
72%
1st-down pass rate
49%
Run friendly
-0.93
Scheme creativity
-0.34
Play action / motion
22% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
36
Effective contributors
2.15
Top player's share
66%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.39

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk4
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
NYG,WAS,BAL
Window matchup
+1.03
Opponents after
HOU,TB,GB
After matchup
-0.06
Flip edge
+1.09
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
14
Playoff schedule (15-17)
+0.35

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

14

Points

30.5

Per game

2.18

17-gm pace

37

Best / worst

7.7 / 0.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
20.00000000
40.61601000
51.500011100
67.70002271
70.80001130
80.21200000
90.00000000
115.615033360
121.20001170
140.00000000
154.0316022140
161.910021140
174.9730011140
182.121201140