Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Dalton Schultz

HOU

TE17 · overall #131 · tier 4 · age 30

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Projected points

107

7.2/gm

Value over replacement

3

repl 112

Range

80–135

sd 27

Week

9.3

vs DAL

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
5.8
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
4.1
Rec yards / game
38
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.22
Total TD / game
0.22
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
9.3
Games of history
64
Age multiplier
0.911
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.9
Projected plays / game
61.9
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-1.37
OL pass protection
-1.19
OL continuity
64%
2TE rate
20%
3WR rate
76%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.36
Scheme creativity
-0.30
Play action / motion
23% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
3
Effective contributors
1.47
Top player's share
82%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.16

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
DAL,TEN,JAX
Window matchup
+0.19
Opponents after
NYG,LAC
After matchup
-0.26
Flip edge
+0.45
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.87

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Games

17

Points

95.7

Per game

5.63

17-gm pace

96

Best / worst

13.6 / 0.8

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
12.8TE2653280
22.9TE2943290
33.9TE2065390
43.0TE2665300
56.0TE1965600
79.8TE10109980
82.4TE2532240
97.7TE1586770
1011.3TE4117531
115.1TE1396510
120.8TE454180
135.5TE1687550
142.2TE2343220
1513.6TE898761
169.5TE855351
171.9TE3343190
187.3TE1144730