Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

TE

Dalton Schultz

HOU

TE17 · overall #131 · tier 4 · age 30

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Projected points

107

7.2/gm

Value over replacement

3

repl 112

Range

80–135

sd 27

Week

9.3

vs DAL

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Targets / game
5.8
Carries / game
0.0
Receptions / game
4.1
Rec yards / game
38
Rush yards / game
0
Rush TD / game
0.00
Rec TD / game
0.22
Total TD / game
0.22
Games projected
14.9
Observed pts/gm (history)
9.3
Games of history
64
Age multiplier
0.911
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.9
Projected plays / game
61.9
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
-1.37
OL pass protection
-1.19
OL continuity
64%
2TE rate
20%
3WR rate
76%
1st-down pass rate
46%
Run friendly
-0.36
Scheme creativity
-0.30
Play action / motion
23% / 53%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
clear lead
Ambiguity score
3
Effective contributors
1.47
Top player's share
82%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.16

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
DAL,TEN,JAX
Window matchup
+0.19
Opponents after
NYG,LAC
After matchup
-0.26
Flip edge
+0.45
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
8
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.87

2025 game log

full season · Full PPR

Games

17

Points

177.7

Per game

10.45

17-gm pace

178

Best / worst

21.6 / 1.8

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
15.8TE2653280
25.9TE2843290
38.9TE1765390
48.0TE2165300
511.0TE1665600
718.8TE5109980
84.4TE2832240
913.7TE786770
1018.3TE4117531
1111.1TE896510
121.8TE444180
1312.5TE987550
145.2TE2343220
1521.6TE798761
1614.5TE1155351
174.9TE3143190
1811.3TE1044730