Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Chuba Hubbard

CAR

RB22 · overall #36 · tier 6 · age 27

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Projected points

172

12.2/gm

Value over replacement

75

repl 110

Range

133–211

sd 39

Week

10.2

vs CHI

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
53
Carries
197
Receptions
42
Rec yards
273
Rush yards
836
Rush TD
5.1
Rec TD
1.3
Total TD
6.5
Games projected
14.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
10.6
Games of history
61
Age multiplier
0.934
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
34.7
Projected plays / game
59.9
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.31
OL pass protection
+0.20
OL continuity
60%
2TE rate
25%
3WR rate
73%
1st-down pass rate
40%
Run friendly
+0.67
Scheme creativity
-0.69
Play action / motion
21% / 40%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
34
Effective contributors
2.06
Top player's share
60%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.36

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
hold
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
CHI,ATL,CLE
Window matchup
-0.30
Opponents after
DET,PHI
After matchup
-0.23
Flip edge
-0.07
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
5
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.58

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

15

Points

110.4

Per game

7.36

17-gm pace

125

Best / worst

19.4 / 1.3

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
116.41657053321
216.21038065391
38.6177303230
48.41049033200
76.51431032240
89.4123411000
91.751701000
102.031401110
113.342103170
126.3316044270
1319.41783022411
154.382901190
163.962701170
171.341203360
182.751002270