Fourth & Inches

2026 regular · wk 4 · half ppr · 64 games lined

WR

Calvin Ridley

TEN

WR84 · overall #196 · tier 9 · age 31

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Projected points

86

6.6/gm

Value over replacement

-11

repl 119

Range

6–167

sd 80

Week

3.5

@ BAL

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
66
Carries
5
Receptions
38
Rec yards
493
Rush yards
22
Rush TD
0.2
Rec TD
3.0
Total TD
3.2
Games projected
13.1
Observed pts/gm (history)
10.2
Games of history
41
Age multiplier
0.813
Usage carryover
0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
35.4
Projected plays / game
59.5
Projected pass rate
58%
OL run block
-1.29
OL pass protection
-1.25
OL continuity
46%
2TE rate
21%
3WR rate
77%
1st-down pass rate
39%
Run friendly
+0.16
Scheme creativity
-0.30
Play action / motion
20% / 43%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score
98
Effective contributors
4.85
Top player's share
30%
New play-caller
yes
Variance multiplier
2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
avoid
Window weeks
4-6
Window opponents
BAL,HOU,IND
Window matchup
-0.58
Opponents after
CLE,CIN
After matchup
-0.48
Flip edge
-0.10
Buy basis
recent form
Bye week
9
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.13

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

7

Points

38.8

Per game

5.54

17-gm pace

94

Best / worst

15.6 / 1.8

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsRankTgtRecRe YdsRe TDAttRu Yds
14.7WR598427000
27.2WR566357000
33.2WR787127000
44.0WR653230000
515.6WR12105131000
62.3WR811118000
111.8WR821113000