Calvin Ridley

TEN

WR84 · overall #196 · tier 9 · age 31

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Projected points

6.6/gm

Value over replacement

-11

repl 119

Range

6–167

sd 80

Week

3.5

@ BAL

Projected usage

opportunity, before efficiency

Per game Season total

Targets / game: 5.1
Carries / game: 0.4
Receptions / game: 2.9
Rec yards / game: 38
Rush yards / game: 2
Rush TD / game: 0.02
Rec TD / game: 0.23
Total TD / game: 0.24
Games projected: 13.1
Observed pts/gm (history): 10.2
Games of history: 41
Age multiplier: 0.813
Usage carryover: 0.90

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play: 35.4
Projected plays / game: 59.5
Projected pass rate: 58%
OL run block: -1.29
OL pass protection: -1.25
OL continuity: 46%
2TE rate: 21%
3WR rate: 77%
1st-down pass rate: 39%
Run friendly: +0.16
Scheme creativity: -0.30
Play action / motion: 20% / 43%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label: new head coach, committee
Ambiguity score: 98
Effective contributors: 4.85
Top player's share: 30%
New play-caller: yes
Variance multiplier: 2.55

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action: avoid
Window weeks: 4-6
Window opponents: BAL,HOU,IND
Window matchup: -0.58
Opponents after: CLE,CIN
After matchup: -0.48
Flip edge: -0.10
Buy basis: recent form
Bye week: 9
Playoff schedule (15-17): -0.13

2025 game log

full season · Standard

Standard Half PPR Full PPR

Games

Points

30.3

Per game

4.33

17-gm pace

Best / worst

13.1 / 1.3

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

Wk	Pts	Rank	Tgt	Rec	Re Yds
1	2.7	WR69	8	4	27
2	5.7	WR52	6	3	57
3	2.7	WR68	7	1	27
4	3.0	WR60	3	2	30
5	13.1	WR11	10	5	131
6	1.8	WR76	1	1	18
11	1.3	WR80	1	1	13