Fourth & Inches

2026 pre · wk 1 · half ppr · 61 games lined

Inches matter. Both in life and in Fantasy Football.

RB

Zach Charbonnet

SEA

RB39 · overall #72 · tier 8 · age 25

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Projected points

98

11.9/gm

Value over replacement

42

repl 110

Range

54–141

sd 43

Week

0.0

vs NE

Projected usage

opportunity over the projected season

Targets
26
Carries
103
Receptions
21
Rec yards
153
Rush yards
424
Rush TD
5.0
Rec TD
0.2
Total TD
5.2
Games projected
8.2
Observed pts/gm (history)
10.5
Games of history
49
Age multiplier
1.000
Usage carryover
1.00

Team context

what scales this projection

Neutral sec / play
32.9
Projected plays / game
61.2
Projected pass rate
57%
OL run block
+0.11
OL pass protection
+0.37
OL continuity
100%
2TE rate
34%
3WR rate
58%
1st-down pass rate
50%
Run friendly
+0.17
Scheme creativity
-0.21
Play action / motion
23% / 52%

Situation

ambiguity widens the projection range

Label
settled
Ambiguity score
39
Effective contributors
2.27
Top player's share
51%
New play-caller
no
Variance multiplier
1.43

Trade window

schedule-driven buy / sell timing

Action
buy now, flip wk4
Window weeks
1-3
Window opponents
NE,ARI,WAS
Window matchup
+1.34
Opponents after
LAC,SF,DEN
After matchup
-0.16
Flip edge
+1.50
Buy basis
season average
Bye week
11
Playoff schedule (15-17)
-0.13

2025 game log

full season · Half PPR

Games

16

Points

171.4

Per game

10.71

17-gm pace

182

Best / worst

25.2 / 1.0

Pace extrapolates the selected weeks over 17 games. It is what that stretch was worth, not a projection — no availability, matchup or regression adjustment is applied.

WkPtsAttRu YdsRu TDTgtRecRe YdsRe TD
110.7124710000
21.0151000000
411.4123912250
511.3936121120
64.21224011130
718.5124922260
95.1825011210
1014.3148310000
115.71137022100
129.563510000
1311.2145210000
147.6746032200
153.183101000
1615.4932144220
1725.218110222120
1817.21774143230